000
ABNT20 KNHC 301722
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Beryl, located a few hundred miles east of the Windward Islands.
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
Satellite derived winds and preliminary aircraft reconnaissance
data indicate that the area of low pressure located over the
southern portion of the Bay of Campeche has become better organized
during the past few hours and a tropical depression could be
forming. The system is moving toward west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph and is expected to approach the eastern coast of Mexico tonight
and move inland on Monday morning. Consequently, a Tropical Storm
Watch may be required later today for a portion of the eastern coast
of Mexico. Interests along the Gulf Coast of Mexico should monitor
the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall will result in areas of flooding across eastern Mexico
today and into Monday, with mudslides possible in areas of higher
terrain. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is currently
investigating the system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by the middle part of this week while it moves
generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor
the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
Source:
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
