000

ABPZ20 KNHC 150535

TWOEP



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020



For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:



The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest

of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.



An area of low pressure located about 150 miles southwest of the

southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little

better defined since yesterday. However, the associated shower

activity remains limited. While some additional development of this

system is possible, the low is forecast to move over cooler waters

on Saturday and the chance of this system becoming a tropical

depression appears to be decreasing.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.



Another area of disturbed weather associated with a broad area of

low pressure is located about 700 miles southwest of the southern

tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are

expected to be conducive for the development of this system, and it

is likely to become a tropical depression while it moves slowly

north-northwestward or northward during the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.



A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized

showers and thunderstorms just offshore of the Pacific coast of

Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low

pressure system to develop from this trough over the next day or

so, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form this

weekend or early next week while the system moves generally

west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of

Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.



$$

Forecaster Pasch


Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook