000

ABPZ20 KNHC 211137

TWOEP



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

500 AM PDT Tue Sep 21 2021



For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:



A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of

the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing

disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast

to be somewhat conducive for development, and a short-lived tropical

cyclone could form in 2 or 3 days while the system moves generally

northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By the weekend, however, the system

is forecast to move over cooler waters and into a more stable

environment, which should inhibit further development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



$$

Forecaster Blake


Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook