NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri May 17 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Coast of Southwestern Mexico:
An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles
offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce a
small area of showers and thunderstorms. This activity has become
more diffuse than yesterday, and marginal environmental conditions
due to nearby dry air are likely to limit significant development.
This system should remain nearly stationary during the next day or
so, but by the end of the weekend, the low is forecast to interact
or merge with another system to its east.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. South of the Coast of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms persist several hundred miles
to the south of the coast of southern Mexico along a trough of low
pressure. Development of this system, if any, should be slow to
occur as it moves slowly westward during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Papin