ABNT20 KNHC 192320


Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Storm Alberto, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):

A small area of low pressure has formed about 300 miles east of

the northwestern Bahamas this evening with disorganized shower and

thunderstorm activity. While environmental conditions are only

marginally conducive due to nearby dry air, further development of

this system is possible while the low moves west-northwestward and

approaches the northeastern coast of Florida or Georgia early on


* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form near the Yucatan

Peninsula of Mexico on Friday. Environmental conditions appear to

be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and this system

could become a tropical depression over the southwestern Gulf of

Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or


* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Blake

Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook