000

ABNT20 KNHC 220502

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):

Satellite imagery, surface observations, and National Weather

Service Doppler radar data indicate that the well-defined low

pressure area is moving inland over southeastern Georgia.

Therefore, tropical cyclone formation from this system is not

expected.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.



Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate a broad area of

low pressure is located over the Bay of Campeche. Environmental

conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system

as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward, and a

tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico

this weekend. Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should

monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



$$

Forecaster Beven


Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook