000

ABNT20 KNHC 221748

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):

A broad low pressure system located over the southwestern Gulf of

Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and

thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear to have become a

little more marginal for development of this system as it moves

slowly northwestward, but a tropical depression could still form

before the system reaches the coast of northeastern Mexico

Sunday night. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely

to cause localized flooding across portions of northeastern Mexico

and Deep South Texas through the end of the weekend. An Air Force

Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently investigating the

disturbance.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Near the Georgia Coast (AL92):

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system

centered just inland over southeastern Georgia have decreased

during the past several hours. The low is expected to drift slowly

north-northeastward near the coasts of Georgia and southern South

Carolina through tonight before dissipating by Sunday. Tropical

cyclone formation is not expected.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.



$$

Forecaster Hagen/Berg


Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook