000

ABPZ20 KNHC 181728

TWOEP



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 18 2024



For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:



The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed

Tropical Depression Seven-E, located well south of the southern tip

of the Baja California peninsula.



Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:

Another area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian

Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on

its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the

disturbance located to its east. If this system becomes the dominant

disturbance, some gradual development is possible, and a tropical

depression could form by the middle part of the week while it

initially moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific.

A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is

likely by the latter portion of the week. Information on this

system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather

Outlook for the Central Pacific basin.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Western Portion of the East Pacific:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with

a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the

southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is

forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest

over the next few days, which could limit additional development if

this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a

tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the

week while the system moves generally west-northwestward before it

possibly merges with the disturbance currently located further west.

Information on this system's development can also be found in the

Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific:

Yet another area of low pressure could form well to the south of the

southwestern coast of Mexico around the middle of the week.

Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow

development of this system thereafter as it moves slowly

west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific

basin.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



&&

The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be

found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on

the web at hurricanes.gov



Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under

WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.

Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under

WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.



$$

Forecaster Cangialosi/Papin


Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook