000

ABNT20 KNHC 080009 CCA

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Sat Sep 7 2024



Corrected typo in the second disturbance paragraph.



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):

An area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche is

producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance

is forecast to drift slowly northward during the next several days

while it interacts with a frontal boundary. Environmental conditions

are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a

tropical depression is likely to form while the system moves

generally northward near or along the Gulf coast of Mexico and Texas

through the middle of next week. Interests along the western Gulf of

Mexico coast should closely monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Central Tropical Atlantic:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low

pressure over the central tropical Atlantic has begun to show signs

of organization. Gradual additional development is possible, and a

tropical depression could form while the system meanders over the

central tropical Atlantic through Monday and then moves generally

westward at about 10 mph through the rest of next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of

low pressure are located several hundred miles southwest of

the Cabo Verde Islands. The disturbance is expected to move very

little during the next few days until it potentially interacts with

a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of

Africa by early Monday. Environmental conditions are expected to be

favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical

depression could form by the middle or late portions of next week.

The system is expected to begin moving slowly westward by the end

of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



$$

Forecaster D. Zelinsky


Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook