000

ABPZ20 KNHC 081134

TWOEP



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

500 AM PDT Tue Oct 8 2024



For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:



Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure

located about 150 miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico, have changed

little in organization since yesterday. Only a small increase in

organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression

during the next day or so. By late Wednesday, upper-level winds are

forecast to become more unfavorable, and further development is not

expected. The system is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward

to northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of Mexico. Interests

along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress

of this system. Regardless of development, the disturbance could

bring areas of heavy rain to portions of southwestern Mexico during

the next couple of days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



$$

Forecaster Reinhart


Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook