SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook


Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0103 AM CST Fri Jan 24 2025

Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

...Synopsis...
A broad upper trough migrating southeastward out of southwestern
Canada will support widespread surface pressure falls across the
inter-mountain West and central High Plains. Breezy conditions are
expected along the southern CA coast and southern Plains in response
to the broad-scale, low-level mass response with an attendant
increase in fire weather potential.

...Southern California Coast...
06 UTC surface observations show a 1030-1036 mb surface high over
parts of the Great Basin, which is promoting a moderate offshore
pressure gradient along the southern CA coast. Areas of 15-25 mph
are expected to persist through the early morning hours and into the
afternoon before diminishing through late afternoon/evening as the
surface high weakens amid surface pressure falls related to the
approaching upper wave. While the strongest winds may be temporally
offset from peak diurnal heating, a prolonged period of
offshore/downslope winds has resulted in very low (5-15%) RH along
the coast, which will support fire weather concerns through the
morning and early afternoon.

...Southern Plains...
Surface high pressure currently over southern TX (as of 06 UTC) is
expected to shift east over the next 12 hours. Concurrently, surface
pressure falls along the central High Plains ahead of a weak cold
front will promote strengthening pressure gradient wind across the
southern Plains. 15-25 mph southwest winds are likely across much of
western TX into southwest OK with RH reductions generally between
15-25%. Elevated fire weather conditions are likely, and a few
locations may experience periods of critical conditions. However,
recent ERC analyses suggest that fuels are only modestly receptive
(between the 50-80th percentiles), which should limit fire spread
potential outside of areas with heavy loading of 1 and 10-hour
fuels.

..Moore.. 01/24/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html