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#759616
Tue 01 Apr 2025 06:57:AM
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,904
Launch Director
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OP
Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,904 |
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO NEW MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...Synopsis... Within the base of a highly amplified large-scale trough over the West, an 80-kt west-southwesterly midlevel jet streak will impinge on the southern High Plains during the afternoon. In response, a lee cyclone will deepen to around 986 mb over the central High Plains, while a southward-extending dryline sharpens over the southern High Plains.
...Far Southeast Arizona into New Mexico and the Southern High Plains... West of the dryline, strong downslope flow and diurnal heating/mixing (beneath high-level clouds overspreading the area) will favor an expansive area of 10-15 percent RH. Additionally, an axis of upper 80s/lower 90s surface temperatures will extend northeastward from the Trans-Pecos into Northwest TX. At the same time, a tightening pressure gradient peripheral to the deepening surface cyclone, and mixing into the strong flow aloft, will contribute to 25-35 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds (with gusts upwards of 50 mph). These conditions will result in an expansive area of high-end critical to localized extremely critical conditions.
..Weinman.. 04/01/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html
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