SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook


Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025

Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO NEW
MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

...Synopsis...
Within the base of a highly amplified large-scale trough over the
West, an 80-kt west-southwesterly midlevel jet streak will impinge
on the southern High Plains during the afternoon. In response, a lee
cyclone will deepen to around 986 mb over the central High Plains,
while a southward-extending dryline sharpens over the southern High
Plains.

...Far Southeast Arizona into New Mexico and the Southern High
Plains...
West of the dryline, strong downslope flow and diurnal
heating/mixing (beneath high-level clouds overspreading the area)
will favor an expansive area of 10-15 percent RH. Additionally, an
axis of upper 80s/lower 90s surface temperatures will extend
northeastward from the Trans-Pecos into Northwest TX. At the same
time, a tightening pressure gradient peripheral to the deepening
surface cyclone, and mixing into the strong flow aloft, will
contribute to 25-35 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds
(with gusts upwards of 50 mph). These conditions will result in an
expansive area of high-end critical to localized extremely critical
conditions.

..Weinman.. 04/01/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html