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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,904
Launch Director
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OP
Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,904 |
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 30 2025 000
FONT13 KNHC 301452
PWSAT3
HURRICANE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
1500 UTC THU OCT 30 2025
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 68(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 11(11) 72(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 41(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 12(12) 20(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
BERMUDA 34 24 62(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
BERMUDA 50 X 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN Source: Hurricane Melissa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 37
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