Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 PM CST Tue Mar 03 2026

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

The forecast remains on track, and please see the previous
discussion for more details.

..Nauslar/Stearns.. 03/03/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CST Tue Mar 03 2026/

...Synopsis...
A mid-level shortwave trough will eject northeastward across the
central Great Plains through D2/Wednesday as a more amplified
upper-level trough digs southeastward into the West. At the surface,
a weak cyclone will transition northeastward across the Midwest
along a nearly stationary boundary forecast to extend from far west
Texas northeastward into the Midwest and then eastward across the
Mid-Atlantic. Cooler temperatures, light winds, and modestly
increased RH within the post-frontal air mass are expected to temper
any fire weather concerns across much of the central and southern
High Plains. While a corridor of stronger sustained surface winds
(15-20 mph) is forecast ahead of the surface low from southern Texas
into the mid-Mississippi River Valley, richer low-level moisture
will maintain surface RH above 40-50% across region. 

Meanwhile, a second surface cyclone will shift southeastward from
Alberta into southeastern Montana and may bring a brief period of
localized downslope winds to portions of the northern High Plains;
however, sustained winds are forecast to remain light (less than 15
mph) across any areas that do see decreased RH values of 20% or
less. Given the expected poor overlap of low RH and stronger
sustained winds, widespread fire weather concerns are not
anticipated at this time.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...