SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

...Afternoon Update...
After a brief reprieve, hot, dry and windy conditions return to the
northern/central Plains on Day 2/Monday. Strong, northwesterly flow
aloft will overspread the Central States beneath an anchored upper
low in the southern Ontario/Quebec regions. A southward progressing
surface low over the Great Lakes will tighten surface pressure
gradients along the High Plains, promoting northwesterly sustained
winds of 15-25 mph amid 15-20% RH. Elevated highlights have been
expanded across southeastern WY and northwestern NE to reflect
recent guidance, overlapping 95-98th percentile ERCs where receptive
fuels exist (and the ongoing South Fork Fire in northwestern NE).

Despite weaker upper-level support, stronger terrain-driven winds of
15-20 mph (locally greater in gap-flow areas and higher elevations)
and 10-15% RH will promote locally elevated fire weather conditions
across parts of the eastern Great Basin, Four Corners, and Central
Rockies.

..Elizalde-Garcia.. 06/14/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0100 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026/

...Synopsis...
Elevated fire-weather conditions are forecast for portions of
eastern Wyoming into Nebraska on Monday, as a dry and breezy
post-frontal airmass produces 15-20 MPH winds with 15-20% relative
humidity across the area. These conditions will overlap with
generally critical fuels, as ERCs are forecast to be in the
95th-98th percentile range. There is still some uncertainty in the
overall coverage and duration of Elevated conditions, so expansion
may occur in future updates.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html