SPC MD 374
MD 0374 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF NORTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

Mesoscale Discussion 0374
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0228 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Areas affected...parts of northwest/west central Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 101928Z - 102200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Intensifying thunderstorm development appears probable
southwest through west-northwest of the Enid OK vicinity through 3-5
PM CDT, with stronger storms posing a risk for small to marginally
severe hail and localized strong wind gusts.

DISCUSSION...Insolation appears to have contribute to moderate
boundary-layer destabilization (including CAPE up to 2000 J/kg)
along the western flank of stalled/slow moving convective outflow to
the north through west-northwest of the Greater Oklahoma City area. 
As destabilization continues, and mid-level inhibition erodes,
deepening convective development is underway in a corridor southwest
of Enid into areas near/south of Gage OK.  Further intensification
into increasing thunderstorm development appears probable through
the next couple of hours, perhaps aided by forcing for ascent
associated with weak low-level warm advection.

Vertical shear across this region will remain quite weak, in the
presence of westerly deep-layer mean flow on the order of 10-15 kt. 
However, thermodynamic profiles may be cool enough, with modestly
steep lower/mid-tropospheric lapse rates, to support small to
marginally severe hail in occasional stronger updraft pulses.  A
couple of strong downbursts also appear possible, but the evolution
of a mesoscale convective vortex with consolidating, sustained
vigorous thunderstorm development will probably be needed to support
a more appreciable risk for damaging wind gusts.  Potential for this
currently seems low, but perhaps not out of the question.

..Kerr/Mosier.. 04/10/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

LAT...LON   36259966 36289847 36059718 35719714 35359739 35539862
            35789968 36259966 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0374.html