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SPC MD 102
by Webmaster - Fri 20 Feb 2026 12:15:AM
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SPC MD 103
by Webmaster - Fri 20 Feb 2026 12:15:AM
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SPC MD 104
by Webmaster - Fri 20 Feb 2026 12:15:AM
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SPC MD 102
Webmaster
1 hour ago
SPC MD 102MD 0102 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 10... FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN/SOUTHERN INDIANA 
Mesoscale Discussion 0102 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0526 PM CST Thu Feb 19 2026
Areas affected...Portions of western/southern Indiana
Concerning...Tornado Watch 10...
Valid 192326Z - 200100Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 10 continues.
SUMMARY...Tornado Watch #10 continues until 0200 UTC. A supercell thunderstorm currently tracking across northern portions of the watch in far western/southern Indiana is the primary focus for severe activity in the short term, and has a history of rotation and brief tornadoes.
DISCUSSION...The supercell thunderstorm tracking across the northern portions of Tornado Watch #10 is the primary concern for severe weather in the next 1-2 hours, with a history of rotation and tornado production. While further north in the cooler air, VWP profiles from KIND show strong curvature of the hodograph in the lowest levels which will help support continued mesocyclone and tornado development, with values in the 0-500m layer 120 m2/s2. Even further south away from the frontal boundary, profiles from KLVX still show strong support for low-topped supercell longevity. However, some uncertainty exists in how far eastward current convection will be maintained given only modest dewpoints in the low-to-mid 50s F. In spite of this, the cooler temperatures aloft and buoyancy evident in proximity sounding profiles, combined with the strong kinematics discussed and history of tornado production, the expectation is that severe convection should continue eastward into central Indiana for at least the next two hours. This supercell will continue to be capable of all hazards, including a strong tornado.
..Halbert/Gleason.. 02/19/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...IND...
LAT...LON 38928700 38938715 38998724 39048731 39158730 39248725 39348711 39398689 39438668 39478645 39498625 39518605 39488595 39478587 39438578 39308570 39248569 39148570 39068580 39018600 38978628 38958652 38948670 38928700
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0102.html
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SPC MD 103
Webmaster
1 hour ago
SPC MD 103MD 0103 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 10... FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS TO THE INDIANA BORDER 
Mesoscale Discussion 0103 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0603 PM CST Thu Feb 19 2026
Areas affected...Portions of southern Illinois to the Indiana border
Concerning...Tornado Watch 10...
Valid 200003Z - 200130Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 10 continues.
SUMMARY...Tornado Watch #10 continues until 0200 UTC. A cluster of supercellular thunderstorms in south-central Illinois is advancing into the watch area, and will pose a threat for all hazards over the next few hours.
DISCUSSION...As a cluster of supercell thunderstorms enters west-northwestern potions of WW10 across south-central Illinois, the threat for all hazards, including tornadoes, will persist over the next few hours.
While VWPs from KLSX shows winds in the low levels beginning to veer into more straight-line hodographs, the environment downstream of the ongoing supercells (e.g. KILX, KVWX) still show strong curvature of the hodograph in the low levels. Buoyancy remains relatively modest, but when combined with observed kinematics, the environment could continue to support mesocyclone development and maintenance as storms continue to mature and enter the watch area. There is still some uncertainty in this longevity given cooler temperatures and lower dewpoints -- particularly where storms have already tracked earlier this afternoon. Recent radar scans may indicate some down-trending of convective activity is occurring (potentially due to poor thermodynamics). Still, the environment does support a continued severe threat, particularly with any long-lived/mature supercell thunderstorms.
..Halbert/Gleason.. 02/20/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...
LAT...LON 38448865 38598869 38758877 38818897 38928913 39028914 39228907 39708862 39838821 39808764 39538731 39258723 39038715 38858716 38678750 38568794 38458837 38448854 38448865
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0103.html
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SPC MD 104
Webmaster
1 hour ago
SPC MD 104MD 0104 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR PORTIONS OF IOWA 
Mesoscale Discussion 0104 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0607 PM CST Thu Feb 19 2026
Areas affected...Portions of Iowa
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 200007Z - 200600Z
SUMMARY...Snow rates possibly exceeding 1 inch per hour are expected from western into central Iowa this evening.
DISCUSSION...Water-vapor imagery suggests significant midlevel drying is spreading across southeast NE into southern IA, just south of expected 700mb low track. Latest radar data supports this with a well-developed corridor of heavy snow currently noted across eastern NE into western IA. Large-scale ascent is beginning to increase downstream into central IA, and precipitation is gradually expanding into this region within the warm advection zone. Forecast soundings exhibit steep midlevel lapse rates across central IA, and reflectively suggests some convective nature with this new development that is spreading north. Over the next few hours a southwest-northeast oriented band of heavy snow should establish itself as the 700mb circulation advances east. Snow rates could exceed 1 inch per hour at times.
..Darrow.. 02/20/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...FSD...OAX...
LAT...LON 41199564 41499378 42119201 43019227 42729386 42109584 41199564
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0104.html
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SPC Tornado Watch 10 Status Reports
Webmaster
1 hour ago
SPC Tornado Watch 10 Status ReportsWW 0010 Status Updates 
STATUS REPORT ON WW 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE SEM TO 35 SSW ANB TO 20 SSE RMG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0020
..WEINMAN..01/10/26
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...FFC...LIX...JAN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-017-025-027-051-081-085-087-101-109-111-113-123-129- 131-101640-
AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK CHAMBERS CLARKE CLAY ELMORE LEE LOWNDES MACON MONTGOMERY PIKE RANDOLPH RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA WASHINGTON WILCOX
GAC045-149-101640-
GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL HEARD
MSC041-111-101640-
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0010.html
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SPC Tornado Watch 10
Webmaster
1 hour ago
SPC Tornado Watch 10WW 10 TORNADO IL IN KY 191815Z - 200200Z 
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 10 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 115 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Illinois Southern Indiana Western and Central Kentucky
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 115 PM until 900 PM EST.
* Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is anticipated this afternoon from southeast Illinois into southern Indiana and western/central Kentucky. In these areas, increasing low-level moisture will lead to airmass destabilization. Strong vertical shear is in place, supporting the potential for some of these storms to organize into supercells. All severe hazards are possible with any supercells that develop, including very large hail greater than 2" in diameter and tornadoes. Low-level shear is strong enough to support the potential for a strong (EF2+) tornado.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west of Evansville IN to 50 miles east northeast of Louisville KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035.
...Mosier
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0010.html
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Webmaster
Yesterday at 09:59 PM
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 PM CST Thu Feb 19 2026
Valid 211200Z - 271200Z
...Synopsis... As upper-level troughing shifts eastward, a dry cold front sweeps across the Southern Plains bringing dry northerly flow and fire weather concerns to southern TX Day 3/Saturday. Widespread rainfall across much of the Southeast should temporarily alleviate fire weather concerns over the weekend. Rainfall should be limited farther south across the Gulf Coast and FL, with particular concern for FL where dry-post frontal northerly flow could increase the fire weather threat for Day 4/Sunday and 5/Monday. The upper ridge will begin to break down D6/Sunday, introducing dry return flow and downslope winds across the Central and Southern Plains, potentially increasing fire weather concerns through the extended period.
...Day 3/Saturday - Southern Texas... Post frontal northerly winds behind a prominent dry cold front move into TX Day 3/Saturday. Heightened fire weather concerns should exist across portions of central and southern TX where RH will drop to 10-20 percent with sustained northerly winds of 10-20 mph spread across a dry fuelscape. 40% Critical probabilities have been maintained.
...Day 4/Sunday and Day 5/Monday - Florida and Southern Plains... Deep layer northwesterly flow develops across the Southeast and FL behind a surface cold front underlying an amplifying upper-level trough across the Northeast. Widespread wetting rainfall from Day 4/Sunday is expected to remain north of the Gulf Coast, with minimal precipitation across FL. A cold front will pass through the northern FL peninsula early afternoon D4/Sunday bringing post frontal northwesterly winds and low RH. Coincident dry fuels should increase the fire weather threat where 40% Critical probabilities have been added. D5/Monday dry northwesterly flow is expected to shift to southern FL where even lower RH is anticipated, maintaining 40% Critical probabilities. There is uncertainty in the RH reductions under a cooler, dry return flow pattern across the Southern Plains on D5/Monday, which precludes introductions of Critical probabilities at this time.
...Day 6/Tuesday - Southern and Central Plains... Fire weather concerns reemerge across portions of the central and southern High Plains via dry return flow and increasing westerly winds aloft as the upper-level ridge across the Intermountain West breaks down. 40% critical probabilities have been added where a combination of low RH and strong westerly winds overlap dry fuels in eastern NM, TX Panhandle, and southwestern OK. Beneath the upper-level ridge a surface low will emerge in the lee of the northern Rockies, tightening a surface pressure gradient across eastern WY and western NE. Strong downslope winds may occur, though cooler temperatures and RH uncertainties have limited the introduction of Critical probabilities for now.
...Day 7/8 Wednesday/Thursday - West Texas... 40% probabilities have been introduced across the West TX region on D7/Wednesday as long-range models are hinting at hot, dry, windy conditions. Increasing northwest flow aloft and induced surface lee troughing will support increased fire weather concerns. Uncertainty is too high for D8/Thursday, though the anticipated pattern could suggest an ongoing fire weather threat through the forecast period.
..Elizalde-Garcia/Williams.. 02/19/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/
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World Earthquake Report for Thursday, 19 February 2026
Webmaster
Yesterday at 09:20 PM
World Earthquake Report for Thursday, 19 February 2026 Worldwide earthquakes above magnitude 3 during the past 24 hours on 19 Feb 2026 Summary: 3 quakes 5.0+, 47 quakes 4.0+, 116 quakes 3.0+, 338 quakes 2.0+ (504 total)This report is being updated every hour.Magnitude 5+: 3 earthquakes Magnitude 4+: 47 earthquakes Magnitude 3+: 116 earthquakes Magnitude 2+: 338 earthquakes No quakes of magnitude 6 or higher 10 largest earthquakes in the world (past 24 hours)Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 08:26 am (GMT +8) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 10:18 am (GMT -4) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 03:09 pm (Urumqi time) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 09:36 am (Ust-Nera time) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 11:17 am (GMT -6) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 04:02 pm (GMT +9) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 10:43 pm (Manila time) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 04:38 am (GMT -10) - Wednesday, Feb 18, 2026, at 09:27 pm (GMT -5) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 11:34 am (GMT -6) - Earthquakes reported feltThursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 12:13 pm (Universal Time) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 12:16 pm (Universal Time) - Wednesday, Feb 18, 2026, at 09:00 pm (Managua time) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 07:15 am (GMT -4) - Wednesday, Feb 18, 2026, at 11:38 pm (GMT +1) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 10:18 am (GMT -4) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 06:53 am (Athens time) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 10:43 pm (Manila time) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 03:09 pm (Urumqi time) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 07:28 pm (GMT +2) - Wednesday, Feb 18, 2026, at 08:15 pm (GMT -8) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 07:26 pm (GMT +2) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 06:48 am (GMT -6) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 08:34 pm (GMT +1) - #15: Mag 3.9 Costa Rica - 5 reportsThursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 01:21 pm (GMT -5) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 09:13 pm (GMT +8) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 12:35 am (GMT -5) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 04:21 pm (GMT +1) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 09:10 pm (GMT +2) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 05:24 pm (GMT +9) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 02:22 am (GMT -5) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 11:17 am (GMT +3) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 11:17 am (GMT -6) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 08:26 am (GMT +8) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 08:47 pm (GMT +2) - Wednesday, Feb 18, 2026, at 04:22 pm (GMT -9) - Wednesday, Feb 18, 2026, at 05:11 pm (GMT -9) - Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, at 07:40 am (GMT +9) - Earthquake stats  https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquake/news/295281/World-Earthquake-Report-for-Thursday-19-February-2026.html
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Volcano earthquake report for Thursday, 19 Feb 2026
Webmaster
Yesterday at 08:50 PM
Volcano earthquake report for Thursday, 19 Feb 2026 World map showing volcanoes with shallow (less than 50 km) earthquakes within 20 km radius during the past 24 hours on 19 Feb 2026 Number in brackets indicate nr of quakes. Quakes detected near: Askja (2 quakes between mag 0.3-1.1), Bibinoi (1 quake mag 2.3), Churchill (1 quake mag 1.4), Clear Lake (23 quakes between mag 0.2-1.6), Coatepeque (1 quake mag 3.9), Coso (2 quakes between mag 0.8-1.0) El Chichón (10 quakes between mag 1.1-2.6), Girekol (1 quake mag 1.3), Hrómundartindur (4 quakes between mag 0.0-1.2), Iwaki (1 quake mag 2.7), Katla (8 quakes between mag 0.0-2.8), Katmai (1 quake mag 1.0), Kirishima (1 quake mag 3.0), Kolumbo (1 quake mag 1.9), Laacher See (4 quakes between mag 0.5-1.0), Ljósufjöll (7 quakes between mag 0.4-1.3), Loihi (1 quake mag 1.7), Osorno (1 quake mag 3.0), Pacaya (1 quake mag 3.0), Paluweh (1 quake mag 3.0), Reventador (1 quake mag 1.6), San Miguel (1 quake mag 3.0), Semisopochnoi (1 quake mag 1.4), Tacana (1 quake mag 3.0), Tambora (1 quake mag 2.4), Taranaki (1 quake mag 2.6), Torfajökull (2 quakes between mag 1.3-2.0), White Island (1 quake mag 2.3) (updated 20h50) Note: Earthquakes within 20 km from and at depths less than 50 km under active volcanoes are reported. The list is not complete because many volcanoes are not monitored and/or seismic data in high resolution is not available publicly.
Volcanoes with recent earthquakes above magnitude 2 or more than 10 quakes are listed below:
Bibinoi volcano (Halmahera): magnitude 2.3 earthquakeA magnitude 2.3 earthquake occurred at the volcano 17 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 3.00 km depth at 17 km distance WSW from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.3 quake 22 km southeast of Labuha, Kabupaten Halmahera Selatan, North Maluku, Indonesia, Feb 19, 2026 01:16 pm (GMT +9) (17 km WSW) All earthquakes at BibinoiClear Lake volcano (California): 23 earthquakes up to magnitude 1.6Possible earthquake swarm: 23 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 24 hours, the last being recorded quake 14 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 3.39 and 0.94 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 1.6 quake 12 mi southwest of Clearlake, Lake County, California, United States, Feb 18, 2026 02:02 pm (GMT -8) (17 km S) 1.5 quake 26 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, Feb 18, 2026 06:07 pm (GMT -8) (18 km S) 1.4 quake 26 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, Feb 19, 2026 02:50 am (GMT -8) (18 km SSW) 1.2 quake 28 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, Feb 19, 2026 06:56 am (GMT -8) (16 km SSW) 1.1 quake 25 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, Feb 19, 2026 08:15 am (GMT -8) (19 km S) All earthquakes at Clear LakeCoatepeque volcano (El Salvador): magnitude 3.9 earthquakeA magnitude 3.9 earthquake occurred at the volcano 13 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 3.00 km depth at 14 km distance E from the volcano. Earthquake details: 3.9 quake Departamento de La Libertad, 33 km northwest of San Salvador, El Salvador, Feb 19, 2026 01:58 am (GMT -6) (14 km E) All earthquakes at CoatepequeEl Chichón volcano (Southern Mexico): 10 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.610 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 13 hours, the last being recorded quake 10 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 3.00 and 2.40 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 2.6 quake Estado de Chiapas, 37 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Feb 18, 2026 03:37 pm (GMT -6) (1 km NNW) 2.5 quake Estado de Chiapas, 36 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Feb 18, 2026 09:45 pm (GMT -6) (1 km N) 2.3 quake Estado de Chiapas, 36 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Feb 18, 2026 09:59 pm (GMT -6) (1 km N) 2.2 quake Estado de Chiapas, 36 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Feb 19, 2026 04:20 am (GMT -6) (1 km N) 2.1 quake Estado de Chiapas, 37 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Feb 18, 2026 05:19 pm (GMT -6) (1 km NNW) All earthquakes at El ChichónIwaki volcano (Honshu): magnitude 2.7 earthquakeA magnitude 2.7 earthquake occurred at the volcano 24 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 11.10 km depth at 15 km distance E from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.7 quake 7 km north of Hirosaki, Aomori, Japan, Feb 19, 2026 06:13 am (GMT +9) (15 km E) All earthquakes at IwakiKatla volcano (Iceland): 8 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.88 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 8 hours, the last being recorded quake 2 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 6.80 and 0.00 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 2.8 quake 58 km east of Vestmannaeyjar, South, Iceland, Feb 19, 2026 10:29 am (Reykjavik time) (6 km SW) 1.2 quake 5.0 km N of Hábunga Feb 19, 2026 06:31 pm (Universal Time) (3 km WSW) 1.2 quake Iceland: 4.8 km N of Hábunga Feb 19, 2026 10:46 am (Reykjavik time) (2 km WSW) 0.9 quake 3.9 km NNW of Hábunga Feb 19, 2026 10:30 am (Universal Time) (4 km WSW) 0.6 quake 3.4 km NNW of Hábunga Feb 19, 2026 10:28 am (Universal Time) (4 km SW) All earthquakes at KatlaKirishima volcano (Kyushu): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 6 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 6 km distance WNW from the volcano. Earthquake details: Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 35 km northwest of Miyakonojo, Miyazaki, Japan, Feb 19, 2026 11:37 pm (GMT +9) (6 km WNW) All earthquakes at KirishimaOsorno volcano (Southern Chile and Argentina): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 5 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 1 km distance SSW from the volcano. Earthquake details: Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 12 km north of Ensenada, Provincia de Llanquihue, Region de los Lagos, Chile, Feb 19, 2026 01:02 pm (GMT -3) (1 km SSW) All earthquakes at OsornoPacaya volcano (Guatemala): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 15 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 17 km distance N from the volcano. Earthquake details: Reported quake or seismic-like event: 15 km southwest of Guatemala City, Departamento de Guatemala, Guatemala, Feb 19, 2026 12:06 am (GMT -6) (17 km N) All earthquakes at PacayaPaluweh volcano (Lesser Sunda Islands): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 20 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 4.00 km depth at 13 km distance W from the volcano. Earthquake details: 3.0 quake Flores Sea, 57 km north of Ende, Kabupaten Ende, East Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia, Feb 19, 2026 08:38 am (GMT +8) (13 km W) All earthquakes at PaluwehSan Miguel volcano (El Salvador): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 16 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 19 km distance S from the volcano. Earthquake details: Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 24 km south of San Miguel, Departamento de San Miguel, El Salvador, Feb 18, 2026 10:35 pm (GMT -6) (19 km S) All earthquakes at San MiguelTacana volcano (Southern Mexico): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 24 minutes ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 19 km distance SSW from the volcano. Earthquake details: Unconfirmed quake or seismic-like event reported: 13 km northeast of Tapachula, Estado de Chiapas, Mexico, Feb 19, 2026 02:26 pm (GMT -6) (19 km SSW) All earthquakes at TacanaTambora volcano (Sumbawa): magnitude 2.4 earthquakeA magnitude 2.4 earthquake occurred at the volcano 21 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 13.00 km depth at 19 km distance NW from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.4 quake Kabupaten Bima, 65 km northeast of Sumbawa Besar, Indonesia, Feb 19, 2026 07:40 am (GMT +8) (19 km NW) All earthquakes at TamboraTaranaki volcano (North Island): magnitude 2.6 earthquakeA magnitude 2.6 earthquake occurred at the volcano 7 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.70 km depth at 15 km distance NNE from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.6 quake 15 km southeast of New Plymouth, Taranaki, New Zealand, Feb 20, 2026 02:44 am (GMT +13) (15 km NNE) All earthquakes at TaranakiUnnamed 24.00°N/121.83°E volcano (Taiwan): magnitude 3.9 earthquakeA magnitude 3.9 earthquake occurred at the volcano 7 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 34.50 km depth at 19 km distance SW from the volcano. Earthquake details: 3.9 quake Philippine Sea, 13 km southeast of Hualien City, Taiwan, Feb 19, 2026 10:09 pm (Taipei time) (19 km SW) All earthquakes at Unnamed 24.00°N/121.83°EWhite Island volcano (New Zealand): magnitude 2.3 earthquakeA magnitude 2.3 earthquake occurred at the volcano 6 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 5.00 km depth at 19 km distance SSE from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.3 quake South Pacific Ocean, 37 km northeast of Whakatane, Bay of Plenty, New Zealand, Feb 20, 2026 03:29 am (GMT +13) (19 km SSE) All earthquakes at White Islandhttps://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquakes-volcanoes/news/295265/Volcano-earthquake-report-for-Thursday-19-Feb-2026.html
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SPC Feb 19, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Webmaster
Yesterday at 08:02 PM
SPC Feb 19, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookSPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook  Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 PM CST Thu Feb 19 2026
Valid 192000Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN INDIANA...
...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms including a few tornadoes, large hail and damaging wind gusts are expected across parts of the Midwest and lower Ohio Valley today.
...20Z Update... No changes to the ongoing forecast appear to be needed at this time. Dewpoints have had a tendency to mix into the upper 50s F this afternoon in the lower Ohio Valley region. Convection has thus far struggled to mature/intensify as a result. Areas of southern Illinois into southwestern Indiana should be favored for more robust storm initiation over the next few hours as the shortwave trough moves in from the west. See the previous discussion for additional details.
..Wendt.. 02/19/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1022 AM CST Thu Feb 19 2026/
...Midwest/Ohio Valley... Recent surface analysis places a low over eastern KS with a dryline extending southwestward from this low through central OK and into west TX. A warm front also extends eastward from this low across central MO through central IL and central IN, separating the moistening airmass south from the stable and cold airmass north. Surface observations currently show mid 50s dewpoints through southern IL and southern IN, with the 60s dewpoints farther south into western KY. This surface low is forecast to progress northeastward across central MO and into west-central IL today before continuing northeastward into the southern Lake Michigan vicinity by early tomorrow. Continued northward moisture advection is anticipated as this low progresses, but this low-level moistening will be countered somewhat by boundary-layer mixing, resulting in some uncertainty to how high the dewpoints will reach across the OH Valley this afternoon. General consensus places upper 50s dewpoints into the I-70 corridor by the late afternoon.
These increasing dewpoints coupled with cold temperatures aloft and afternoon temperatures in the upper 60s/low 70s should result in modest airmass destabilization within the warm sector, despite a relatively warm layer between 850-700 mb. In addition to improving thermodynamics, the deep-layer southwesterly flow is forecast to strengthen as well. The strongest mid-level flow will likely be displaced just south of the better thermodynamics, but forecast shear profiles are still quite robust across the OH Valley. The general expectation is for this robust vertical shear (i.e. effective bulk shear over 50 kt this afternoon) to somewhat compensate for the more modest buoyancy, resulting in an organized storm mode and supercells.
The dryline will likely remain west of this region during the afternoon, with the lift over the warm sector provided by a subtle lead shortwave currently moving through southern MO. This shortwave should interact with the warm sector across the OH Valley this afternoon, supporting thunderstorm development. Overall coverage is not expected to be high, but any storms that do mature could produce all severe hazards, including tornadoes. Additionally, the robust shear suggests that once a storm matures, it could persist for several hours. Given this updraft persistence in the presence of veering low-level wind profiles, a strong (EF2+) tornado is possible.
Additional thunderstorms are possible along the front during the evening and overnight from the TN Valley eastward into the central Appalachians. A few strong to severe storms are possible, but limited buoyancy should keep this potential isolated. Greatest probability for a severe storm along the front currently appears to be across western/middle TN and southern-central KY this evening.
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_2000.html
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