FZPN01 KWBC 050402

HSFEP1



HIGH SEAS FORECAST

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

0430 UTC FRI OCT 05 2018



SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.



SEE ANNOUNCEMENT OF PLANNED INMARSAT I-3 TO I-4 MIGRATION

IN 2018 AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/GMDSS_NOTICE.PHP (LOWERCASE).



ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).



PAN PAN



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT

TO 50N 160E



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC OCT 05.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 06.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 07.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE WALAKA NEAR 30.2N 168.0W 983 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 05

MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT

GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 225 NM E

SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER

WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT...425 NM SE QUADRANT...350 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 325 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 41 FT. ELSEWHERE

OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 30N TO 34N BETWEEN 157W AND 171W WINDS

20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT. OTHERWISE FROM 30N TO 38N BETWEEN

154W AND 180W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM WALAKA NEAR 34.4N 166.6W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12

FT OR GREATER WITHIN 660 NM NE...480 NM SE...240 NM SW...AND 480

NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST

WATERS FROM 30N TO 37N BETWEEN 154W AND 172W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.

SEAS 10 TO 20 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE WALAKA NEAR 44.7N

158.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL

STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 115 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT

AND 25 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST

WATERS FROM 32N TO 50N BETWEEN 147W AND 166W WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.

.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE WALAKA NEAR 56.8N

146.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.



...GALE WARNING...

.LOW 59N149W 1000 MB DRIFTING NE. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF A

FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE LOW TO 58N142W TO 55N136W AREA OF E TO

SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM SE

QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.



...GALE WARNING...

.LOW 61N173W 970 MB MOVING W 20 KT. WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE

WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST

WATERS WITHIN 360 NM NE...420 NM SE...480 NM S AND 150 NM NW

QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA NEAR 59N173E 978 MB. WITHIN 420

NM NE QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N170E 986 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S AND SW

QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.



...GALE WARNING...

.LOW 50N179W 987 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM

38N TO 51N BETWEEN 160E AND 179W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO

18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM E AND SE...AND 1320 NM SW

QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 57N170W 990 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 600

NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT...HIGHEST NEAR

51N161W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.



...GALE WARNING...

.LOW 49N138W 1006 MB MOVING SE 20 KT. WITHIN 120 NM E QUADRANT

AND WITHIN 300 NM SE OF A LINE FROM THE LOW TO 43N155W WINDS 20

TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N131W 1004 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S

SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N126W 1006 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS

WITHIN 180 NM N AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS

8 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 900 NM W QUADRANT WINDS LESS THAN

25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND. CONDITIONS DESCRIBED IN

GALE WARNING BELOW.



...GALE WARNING...

.24 HOUR FORECAST LINE TO EXTEND FROM 50N160E TO 40N176W. WITHIN

660 NM S OF THE LINE W TO NW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 19

FT. ELSEWHERE S OF THE LINE W OF 174W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12

FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 48N179E 994 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS

WITHIN 660 NM SE AND 840 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS

10 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 50N W OF 170W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS

TO 12 FT.



...GALE WARNING...

.24 HOUR FORCAST NEW LOW 44N163W 1001 MB. WITHIN 540 NM E AND

480 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE

WITHIN 780 NM E QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N152W 1005 MB. WITHIN 600 NM SE AND 480

NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE

WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.



...GALE WARNING...

.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 32N TO 39N BETWEEN 119W AND 128W AREA OF

NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 44N BETWEEN 119W AND 132W AREA OF

NW TO N WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.LOW 42N127W 1018 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. WITHIN 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE

WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.



.LOW 47N156W 1007 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 480 NM SE AND S

QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N147W 1014 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N AND 420

NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DESCRIBED WITH

LOW 54N152W ABOVE.



.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N178E 979 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW MOVED NW OF AREA.



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 120 NM OF

44N153W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 41N160W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 49N BETWEEN 143W AND

160W AND FROM 40N TO 45N BETWEEN 160W AND 164W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 55N147W TO

50N138W TO 42N157W TO 50N157W TO 55N147W.



.HIGH 38N140W 1025 MB DRIFTING W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 38N142W 1029 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 40N141W 1031 MB.



.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 35N167W 1016 MB.



.FORECASTER HUFFMAN. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 05.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 06.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 07.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 15.9N 120.5W 951 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 05

MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT

GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM S

SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12

FT OR GREATER WITHIN 450 NM NE QUADRANT...360 NM SE

QUADRANT...300 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS

TO 43 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE...360 NM SE...390 NM

SW...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20

FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 30N140W TO 30N116W TO 19N105W

TO 11N106W TO 06N120W TO 17N140W TO 30N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 15.9N 122.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 130 NM NW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 450 NM NE QUADRANT...330

NM SE QUADRANT...300 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 390 NM NW QUADRANT

WITH SEAS TO 44 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM NW AND 300 NM SE

SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. REMAINDER OF

AREA N OF 07N W OF 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN

MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 15.5N 125.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT

OR GREATER WITHIN 480 NM NW AND 420 N SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS

TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 510 NM NW AND 330 NM SE SEMICIRCLES

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 02N

W OF 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 16.0N 127.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 17.5N 127.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 19.5N 124.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING GULF OF

TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS

LESS THAN 8 FT.



.FROM 03N TO 08N BETWEEN 84W AND 93W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.

SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 85W AND 92W SW WINDS

20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN

84W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 86W AND 92W S TO SW

WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 11N

BETWEEN 85W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED

SW SWELL.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC FRI OCT 5...



HURRICANE SERGIO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER,

SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN

117W AND 125W.



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO LOW PRES NEAR 15.5N84W TO 11N102W

TO 14N113W. IT RESUMES FROM 11N126W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED

MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 85W AND 90W.

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 93W

AND 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 11N

BETWEEN 130W AND 140W.



$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


Source: OPC N Pacific High Seas Forecast


David Cottle

UBB Owner & Administrator