000

ABPZ20 KNHC 071741

TWOEP



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 7 2021



For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:



Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure

located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico,

continue to increase in organization. Environmental conditions are

conducive for additional development, and this system is likely to

become a tropical depression later today or tonight while it moves

generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore of the

coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, outer rainbands from

the disturbance are likely to produce locally heavy rainfall and

gusty winds along the coast of the Mexican states of Colima and

Jalisco through tonight. Additional information on this system,

including storm warnings, can be found in the High Seas Forecast

issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.



Shower activity remains limited in association with a small low

pressure area located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip

of the Baja California. Additional development of this system is no

longer anticipated due to unfavorable environmental conditions.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.



&&



High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be

found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on

the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php



$$

Forecaster Latto


Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook