000

ABNT20 KNHC 191740

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):

An area of showers and thunderstorms located over the central

subtropical Atlantic is associated with the remnants of Gordon.

Some development of this system is possible while it moves northward

or north-northeastward over the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic:

An area of low pressure located about 750 miles southeast of

Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive, but some

development of this system is possible while it meanders over the

open waters of the central or western Subtropical Atlantic though

early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over the

northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, gradual development of this

system is possible, and a tropical depression could form as the

system moves slowly to the north or northwest over the northwestern

Caribbean Sea and into the southern Gulf of Mexico through the

middle part of next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



$$

Forecaster Pasch


Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook