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Significant magnitude 5.2 earthquake 58 km north of Valparaiso, Chile
• Small earthquake of magnitude 3.7 just reported 10 km southwest of Glogow, ...
• World Earthquake Report for Monday, 6 July 2026
• Significant 5.3 quake hits near Valparaiso, Provincia de ValparaÃso, Regio...
• Moderate mag. 4.6 earthquake - South Pacific Ocean, 45 km north of Valparai...
• Strong mag. 5.2 earthquake - South Pacific Ocean, 58 km north of Valparaiso...
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SPC MD 1522
Webmaster
3 hours ago
SPC MD 1522MD 1522 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA 
Mesoscale Discussion 1522 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0111 PM CDT Mon Jul 06 2026
Areas affected...Eastern North Dakota...northwest Minnesota...northeast South Dakota
Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely
Valid 061811Z - 062015Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...Large hail and severe winds are possible with initial supercells that will eventually grow upscale into a more organized cluster/MCS. A watch is likely this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...A slow moving cold front continues southeastward within the northern Plains. Though influence from the shortwave trough in Canada is minimal, areas of strong heating of and upper 60s to low 70s F dewpoint airmass is allowing cumulus to deepen along parts of the boundary. Additionally, mid-level convection will move eastward through the Dakotas and may gradually root near the surface. The strongest initial development will likely occur along the Canadian border in northwest Minnesota given the greater surface heating and nominally greater mid-level ascent. Effective shear of 35-40 kt will support a mixture of supercells and multicells. With time, linear forcing along the cold front and cold pool mergers will lead to a broader linear structure. Initial supercells would be capable of large hail up to 2 inches. As activity congeals, severe wind gusts/wind damage would become more likely. The environment into the Mississippi Valley becomes less favorable. Movement of storms toward the south/southeast into the greater buoyancy is expected with time.
..Wendt/Hart.. 07/06/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...BIS...
LAT...LON 45739785 46109810 48279763 49079707 49179637 48959581 46519627 45859646 45659673 45739785
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1522.html
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SPC MD 1523
Webmaster
3 hours ago
SPC MD 1523MD 1523 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL VIRGINIA INTO NORTH-CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA 
Mesoscale Discussion 1523 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CDT Mon Jul 06 2026
Areas affected...Much of northern/central Virginia into north-central North Carolina
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 061827Z - 062100Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...The area is being monitored for an increase in thunderstorm development this afternoon. The stronger storms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts. It is unclear if a watch will be needed, especially in the near term.
DISCUSSION...The latest radar data shows a gradual increase in thunderstorm development over the higher terrain of western VA , with more isolated development farther east. Over the next few hours, continued diurnal heating and orographic lift should promote scattered thunderstorms. As these storms advance eastward into parts of central VA and north-central NC, steepening low-level lapse rates and increasing buoyancy will promote damaging wind gusts -- especially with any clusters of storms that evolve. Current thinking is that the greater risk of damaging winds will develop later this afternoon into the evening, as storms congeal into small clusters. Therefore, the need for a watch is uncertain in the near term, though convective trends are being monitored.
..Weinman/Hart.. 07/06/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...
LAT...LON 36578011 37117958 37627924 38217893 38617844 38837801 38847750 38567704 38247687 37587689 36607735 35727817 35427881 35437971 35738020 36138031 36578011
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1523.html
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Webmaster
3 hours ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 PM CDT Mon Jul 06 2026
Valid 071200Z - 081200Z
...Afternoon Update... Only slight adjustments were made to the risk areas based on the latest guidance. Notably, the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm risk area was expanded into southern ID where a mix of wet/dry thunderstorms will pose a risk for lightning ignitions where pockets of dry fuels exist. Following dry thunderstorms on Day 1/Monday, dry and windy conditions on Day 2/Tuesday may encourage possible lightning holdovers to emerge east of the Cascades (south-central OR) into the northern Sierra Nevada (northeast CA/northwest NV), and west-central UT where Elevated highlights were maintained. The rest of the forecast remains on track, see the previous discussion for more information.
..Elizalde-Garcia.. 07/06/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CDT Mon Jul 06 2026/
...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be driven by a combination of dry thunderstorm potential as well as dry/windy conditions across portions of the West on Tuesday. A slight eastward shift of the upper ridge from the Four Corners into the central Rockies is expected through Tuesday evening. This will establish a more west/southwest flow regime across the West Coast that will be favorable for downslope flow off the northern Sierra Nevada and portions of the Cascades. Additionally, a plume of mid-level moisture will continue to spread east/northeast from the western Great Basin towards the Four Corners/central Rockies that will promote dry thunderstorm potential across a broad area.
...Dry Thunderstorms... Mid-level moisture spreading eastward over the next 24 hours will impinge on a plume of steep mid-level lapse rates and dry boundary-layer conditions currently in place across the Four Corners and central Rockies. This should promote adequate buoyancy for weak convection by Tuesday afternoon. PWAT values are currently forecast to range from 0.75 inches from the northern Great Basin to around 0.5 inch across UT and western CO. Forcing for ascent driven by weak perturbations within the mean southwesterly flow regime over the northern Great Basin should decrease eastward into the Four Corners were orographic ascent will yield more isolated thunderstorms. This will likely result in a mix of wet and dry thunderstorms across the northern Great Basin with increasingly dry thunderstorms with east/southeastward extent. Portions of central OR were removed from the risk area owing to the potential for wetting rainfall over the next 24 hours. However, portions of the area may be at risk for dry lightning if rainfall amounts are more limited than currently anticipated.
...Cascades into the northern Sierra Nevada... The establishment of a southwest flow regime across the Cascades and northern Sierra Nevada will promote strengthening downslope flow along the eastern slopes. Latest forecast guidance suggests that the driest and windiest conditions will emerge across northeast CA/northwest NV where sustained winds between 15-20 mph will likely coincide with 10-15% RH minimums. Further north, cooler conditions will result in more sparse coverage of elevated conditions, but favored gaps will likely see 15-20 mph winds with RH values falling into the 15-25% range by late afternoon.
...Eastern Nevada into western Utah... Another day of dry and windy conditions is expected for Tuesday as weak troughing across the northern Great Basin drives an uptick in southwesterly flow across the region. Confidence in 10-15% RH minimums is fairly high given downslope trajectories off the southern Sierra Nevada over the preceding 24 hours, and latest HREF/REFS guidance suggests wind speeds will likely reach 15 mph for many locations, resulting in a few hours of sustained elevated conditions.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html
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SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 466
Webmaster
3 hours ago
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 466WW 466 SEVERE TSTM MN ND 061840Z - 070200Z 
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 466 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 140 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern Minnesota Eastern North Dakota
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 140 PM until 900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify this afternoon along and ahead of a cold front, and build eastward through the watch area. Large hail and damaging winds will be possible with this activity.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles west of Fargo ND to 35 miles south southeast of International Falls MN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030.
...Hart
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0466.html
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