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Volcano earthquake report for Friday, 10 Jul 2026
• Moderate mag. 4.2 earthquake - 133 km northwest of Ternate, Kota Ternate, N...
• World Earthquake Report for Friday, 10 July 2026
• Moderate mag. 4.6 earthquake - 17 km southwest of Comalapa, Estado de Chiap...
• Moderate mag. 4.1 earthquake - Olyutorskiy Rayon, 47 km northwest of Tilich...
• Moderate mag. 4.0 earthquake - Hawke's Bay, New Zealand, on Saturday, Jul 1...
|
Thursday: Sunny Intervals, Minimum Temperature: 12°C (53°F) Maximum Temperature: 24°C (75°F)
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Maximum Temperature: 24°C (75°F), Minimum Temperature: 12°C (53°F), Wind Direction: westerly, Wind Speed: 7mph, Visibility: Good, Pressure: 1023mb, Humidity: 64%, UV Risk: 5, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 05:10 BST, Sunset: 21:20 BST Source: Thursday: Sunny Intervals, Minimum Temperature: 12°C (53°F) Maximum Temperature: 24°C (75°F)
0
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Wednesday: Light Cloud, Minimum Temperature: 14°C (58°F) Maximum Temperature: 24°C (76°F)
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Maximum Temperature: 24°C (76°F), Minimum Temperature: 14°C (58°F), Wind Direction: north-westerly, Wind Speed: 5mph, Visibility: Moderate, Pressure: 1026mb, Humidity: 65%, UV Risk: 5, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 05:08 BST, Sunset: 21:22 BST Source: Wednesday: Light Cloud, Minimum Temperature: 14°C (58°F) Maximum Temperature: 24°C (76°F)
0
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Hurricane Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 12
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Issued at 1100 AM HST Tue Jul 21 2026 000
WTPZ41 KNHC 212034
TCDEP1
Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 AM HST Tue Jul 21 2026
The core of Fausto has not regained any organization since the
previous advisory, and overall the satellite appearance is of a
system below hurricane strength. However, a SAR overpass near 14Z
indicated that the system still had hurricane-force winds, and this
is supported by satellite intensity estimates from microwave
sounders. Based on these, the initial intensity is held at 65 kt.
Fausto is starting its west-northwestward turn and the initial
motion is now 295/10 kt. The subtropical ridge to the north and
northeast of the cyclone should build westward during the next
five days, and this evolution should steer the cyclone west-
northwestward to westward through the forecast period. As before,
the track guidance remains tightly clustered for three days. After
that, there remains an increase in the north-south spread between
the GFS and Canadian models on the north side of the guidance
envelope and the ECMWF, Google DeepMind, and the HAFS models on the
south side of the guidance envelope. For the first three days, the
new forecast track lies near the previous forecast and the center of
the guidance. At days 4 and 5, it is a little south of the previous
track and a little north of the various consensus models.
While Fausto is forecast to be in a light- to moderate shear
environment for the next several days, it will be moving over
slowly decreasing sea surface temperatures through 72 h.
Subsequently, the forecast track is near and roughly parallel to
the 26C isotherm. In addition, the atmospheric moisture near the
storm should slowly decrease for 72 h, followed by a faster
decrease. The intensity guidance responds to these factors by
showing intensification for 48-60 h, with a gradual weakening after
72 h. Based on the guidance and the need for the core to
re-organize, the new intensity forecast shows little change in
strength for 12 h, followed by gradual strengthening until the 60 h
point. The forecast peak intensity of 85 kt is near the upper edge
of the guidance. After 72 h, the forecast follows the overall
weakening trend of the guidance. The new forecast is weaker than
than the previous forecast through 60 h, and is similar to the
previous forecast thereafter.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 21/2100Z 16.6N 119.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 22/0600Z 17.0N 121.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 22/1800Z 17.4N 122.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 23/0600Z 17.7N 124.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 23/1800Z 17.9N 127.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
60H 24/0600Z 18.3N 129.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 24/1800Z 18.6N 132.3W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 25/1800Z 19.4N 137.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 26/1800Z 20.1N 142.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
$$
Forecaster Beven Source: Hurricane Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 12
0
1
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Hurricane Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 12
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Issued at 1100 AM HST Tue Jul 21 2026 000
WTPZ41 KNHC 212034
TCDEP1
Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 AM HST Tue Jul 21 2026
The core of Fausto has not regained any organization since the
previous advisory, and overall the satellite appearance is of a
system below hurricane strength. However, a SAR overpass near 14Z
indicated that the system still had hurricane-force winds, and this
is supported by satellite intensity estimates from microwave
sounders. Based on these, the initial intensity is held at 65 kt.
Fausto is starting its west-northwestward turn and the initial
motion is now 295/10 kt. The subtropical ridge to the north and
northeast of the cyclone should build westward during the next
five days, and this evolution should steer the cyclone west-
northwestward to westward through the forecast period. As before,
the track guidance remains tightly clustered for three days. After
that, there remains an increase in the north-south spread between
the GFS and Canadian models on the north side of the guidance
envelope and the ECMWF, Google DeepMind, and the HAFS models on the
south side of the guidance envelope. For the first three days, the
new forecast track lies near the previous forecast and the center of
the guidance. At days 4 and 5, it is a little south of the previous
track and a little north of the various consensus models.
While Fausto is forecast to be in a light- to moderate shear
environment for the next several days, it will be moving over
slowly decreasing sea surface temperatures through 72 h.
Subsequently, the forecast track is near and roughly parallel to
the 26C isotherm. In addition, the atmospheric moisture near the
storm should slowly decrease for 72 h, followed by a faster
decrease. The intensity guidance responds to these factors by
showing intensification for 48-60 h, with a gradual weakening after
72 h. Based on the guidance and the need for the core to
re-organize, the new intensity forecast shows little change in
strength for 12 h, followed by gradual strengthening until the 60 h
point. The forecast peak intensity of 85 kt is near the upper edge
of the guidance. After 72 h, the forecast follows the overall
weakening trend of the guidance. The new forecast is weaker than
than the previous forecast through 60 h, and is similar to the
previous forecast thereafter.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 21/2100Z 16.6N 119.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 22/0600Z 17.0N 121.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 22/1800Z 17.4N 122.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 23/0600Z 17.7N 124.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 23/1800Z 17.9N 127.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
60H 24/0600Z 18.3N 129.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 24/1800Z 18.6N 132.3W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 25/1800Z 19.4N 137.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 26/1800Z 20.1N 142.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
$$
Forecaster Beven Source: Hurricane Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 12
0
10
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Hurricane Fausto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026 000
FOPZ11 KNHC 212033
PWSEP1
HURRICANE FAUSTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
2100 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 120W 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
15N 125W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
20N 125W 34 X X( X) 14(14) 11(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 60(63) 1(64) X(64)
20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) X(19) X(19)
20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 58(75) 1(76)
20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 38(40) 1(41)
20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) X(20)
20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 40(65)
20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 26(33)
20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12)
25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN Source: Hurricane Fausto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
0
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Hurricane Fausto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026 000
FOPZ11 KNHC 212033
PWSEP1
HURRICANE FAUSTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
2100 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 120W 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
15N 125W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
20N 125W 34 X X( X) 14(14) 11(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 60(63) 1(64) X(64)
20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) X(19) X(19)
20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 58(75) 1(76)
20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 38(40) 1(41)
20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) X(20)
20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 40(65)
20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 26(33)
20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12)
25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN Source: Hurricane Fausto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
0
9
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Hurricane Fausto Public Advisory Number 12
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Issued at 1100 AM HST Tue Jul 21 2026 000
WTPZ31 KNHC 212033
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 AM HST Tue Jul 21 2026
...FAUSTO TURNS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WHILE CHANGING LITTLE IN
STRENGTH...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 119.9W
ABOUT 780 MI...1260 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 119.9 West. Fausto is
now moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A
general west-northwestward to westward motion is expected for the
next several days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. After that,
gradual strengthening is expected tonight through Thursday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are expected to reach the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula tonight, and persist for a
couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.
$$
Forecaster Beven Source: Hurricane Fausto Public Advisory Number 12
0
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|
Hurricane Fausto Public Advisory Number 12
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Issued at 1100 AM HST Tue Jul 21 2026 000
WTPZ31 KNHC 212033
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 AM HST Tue Jul 21 2026
...FAUSTO TURNS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WHILE CHANGING LITTLE IN
STRENGTH...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 119.9W
ABOUT 780 MI...1260 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 119.9 West. Fausto is
now moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A
general west-northwestward to westward motion is expected for the
next several days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. After that,
gradual strengthening is expected tonight through Thursday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are expected to reach the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula tonight, and persist for a
couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.
$$
Forecaster Beven Source: Hurricane Fausto Public Advisory Number 12
0
10
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Hurricane Fausto Forecast Advisory Number 12
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026 629
WTPZ21 KNHC 212033
TCMEP1
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
2100 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 119.9W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 120SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 119.9W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 119.5W
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.0N 121.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.4N 122.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.7N 124.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.9N 127.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.3N 129.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.6N 132.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 19.4N 137.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 20.1N 142.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 119.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN Source: Hurricane Fausto Forecast Advisory Number 12
0
1
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Hurricane Fausto Forecast Advisory Number 12
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026 629
WTPZ21 KNHC 212033
TCMEP1
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
2100 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 119.9W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 120SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 119.9W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 119.5W
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.0N 121.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.4N 122.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.7N 124.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.9N 127.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.3N 129.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.6N 132.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 19.4N 137.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 20.1N 142.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 119.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN Source: Hurricane Fausto Forecast Advisory Number 12
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Tropical Storm Bertha Public Advisory Number 9a
Webmaster
4 hours ago
Issued at 100 PM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026 000
WTNT32 KNHC 211745
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
100 PM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026
...BERTHA BEGINNING TO TURN WESTWARD...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 86.8W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bay/Gulf County Line in Florida to the Terrebonne/Lafourche Parish
Line in Louisiana
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of the Terrebonne/Lafourche Parish Line to the
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line in Louisiana
* Metropolitan New Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Maurepas
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 to 48
hours.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was
located near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 86.8 West. Bertha is
moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest and west is expected later today, with a continued
westward motion forecast Wednesday through Friday. On the forecast
track, Bertha will move near or along the northern Gulf Coast during
the next few days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected today, and gradual weakening
is forecast Wednesday through Friday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center. A National Ocean Service station in Panama City
Beach, Florida, recently reported sustained winds of 42 mph (68
km/h) and a gust of 49 mph (79 km/h).
The estimated minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is
995 mb (29.39 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue spreading across
portions of the warning area later today through Wednesday. Tropical
storm conditions are possible within the watch area in Louisiana by
late Wednesday.
STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to MS/AL Border...2-4 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Aucilla River, FL...1-3 ft
MS/AL Border to AL/FL Border...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River,
LA...1-3 ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.
For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.
RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2
to 4 inches with isolated higher totals around 6 inches through
Thursday along the central Gulf Coast from western Florida into
southern Louisiana. This rainfall may produce isolated flash
flooding, especially in urban areas.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.
SURF: Swells generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward
along the northern Gulf Coast during the next few days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart Source: Tropical Storm Bertha Public Advisory Number 9a
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
Webmaster
5 hours ago
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 211720 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 21 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fausto, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Eastern and Central East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop well south of Mexico over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of the system thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central portions of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Southwest of Hawaii: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located well southwest of the Hawaiian Islands remain disorganized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system as it moves generally westward during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
Webmaster
5 hours ago
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 211720 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 21 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fausto, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Eastern and Central East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop well south of Mexico over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of the system thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central portions of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Southwest of Hawaii: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located well southwest of the Hawaiian Islands remain disorganized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system as it moves generally westward during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
Webmaster
5 hours ago
178 ABNT20 KNHC 211719 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bertha, located over the northeastern Gulf of America. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Beven Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
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Tropical Storm Bertha Forecast Discussion Number 9
Webmaster
7 hours ago
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026 000
WTNT42 KNHC 211457
TCDAT2
Tropical Storm Bertha Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
1000 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026
Bertha has become slightly better organized this morning. While the
low-level center was fully exposed overnight, new deep convection
has developed this morning and the center has become at least
partially tucked underneath the cold overcast. The Air Force
Hurricane Hunters have been investigating the storm, and they
reported peak 850-mb flight-level winds of 62 kt within the
convection to the southeast of the center, along with layer-averaged
dropsonde winds that support raising the initial intensity to 50 kt.
The central pressure has fallen slightly to 995 mb.
Bertha has deviated north of the forecast track during the past
several hours, and the initial motion is north-northwestward (345/3
kt). The near-term track forecast has been adjusted northward to
account for this development. While Bertha is currently in fairly
weak steering currents, a mid-level ridge centered near the Rockies
is expected to move southeastward during the next couple of days.
This should cause Bertha to turn more west-northwestward and then
westward while it moves near or along the northern Gulf Coast
through midweek. While the track models are overall in good
agreement on this scenario, there are differences in how much land
interaction with southeastern Louisiana will occur, and whether a
new center may redevelop off the coast. Little change was made to
the NHC track forecast beyond 24 h, and once again this forecast
assumes Bertha is able to maintain a cohesive circulation as it
passes near or over the northern Gulf Coast.
Bertha remains an asymmetric tropical storm, with most of the
rainfall and the strongest winds occurring to the south and east of
the center. Strong northeasterly vertical wind shear over Bertha is
forecast to persist today and tonight, which should make it
difficult for Bertha to strengthen much more. Convection is expected
to continue pulsing to the south of Bertha's center during this
time, and the NHC forecast overall shows gradual weakening over the
next few days. The extent of this weakening will depend on how much
land interaction occurs during the next couple of days, and it
remains possible that Bertha could degenerate into a trough even
sooner than forecast due to a disrupted structure within hostile
environmental conditions.
Some notable watch/warning changes were made with this advisory
package. The Tropical Storm Warning was extended eastward across
the Florida Panhandle and westward to the Terrebonne/Lafourche
Parish Line in Louisiana. In addition, the Storm Surge Watch has
been replaced with a Coastal Flood Warning issued by the local
forecast office. Minor to moderate coastal flooding is still
expected to occur between the Mississippi/Alabama Border and the
Mouth of the Mississippi River, with peak values up to 4 ft above
ground level.
Key Messages:
1. Bertha is expected to bring tropical storm conditions to portions
of the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to
southeastern Louisiana later today and Wednesday, where a Tropical
Storm Warning is in effect. Tropical storm conditions are possible
for Metro New Orleans and the southern Gulf Coast of Louisiana,
where a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect.
2. A Coastal Flood Warning is in effect for the Mississippi and
Louisiana coastlines, where moderate coastal flooding is expected.
3. Interests elsewhere in Louisiana and Texas should monitor the
progress of this system, as additional watches or warnings could be
required for portions of that area.
4. Isolated areas of flash flooding will be possible through Friday
along the Gulf Coast from western Florida into southern Louisiana
and the Upper Texas coast.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 21/1500Z 29.3N 86.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 22/0000Z 29.4N 87.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 22/1200Z 29.5N 88.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 23/0000Z 29.4N 89.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...NEAR THE COAST
48H 23/1200Z 29.3N 91.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...NEAR THE COAST
60H 24/0000Z 29.4N 93.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...OVER WATER
72H 24/1200Z 29.9N 94.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
96H 25/1200Z 31.0N 97.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Reinhart Source: Tropical Storm Bertha Forecast Discussion Number 9
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Tropical Storm Bertha Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
