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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Webmaster
Yesterday at 09:54 PM
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sun Mar 08 2026
Valid 101200Z - 161200Z
An upper low will merge with a mid-level trough and traverse the Plains early this week, before ejecting into the Atlantic by the weekend. Thereafter, a zonal upper-air pattern will overspread the CONUS through the weekend. The initial passage of a surface trough will result in high pressure and somewhat dry air overspreading the CONUS east of the Rockies through the week. First, downslope flow over the southern Rockies will result in dry/breezy conditions over portions of the southern High Plains on Day 3 (Tuesday), where 40 percent critical probabilities have been introduced. Strong northerly surface flow will then overspread the Plains on Day 4 (Wednesday) with the initial high pressure surge, though questions of how low RH will get precludes Critical probabilities at this time.
A mid-level impulse, with a 100+ kt mid-level jet streak, will overspread the northern Plains on Day 5/Thursday, resulting in strong surface low development. Widespread dry and windy conditions are expected across the High Plains (delineated by 40 percent Critical probabilities) due to gradient flow. 70 percent Critical probabilities have been added across western Nebraska and immediate surrounding areas, where medium-range guidance consensus and consistency shows Critically dry/windy conditions overlapping dry fuels. Regionally dry and breezy conditions should continue across portions of the central High Plains on Friday and perhaps into the weekend, as strong upper flow continues to overspread the region.
..Squitieri.. 03/08/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/
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