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SPC Jan 8, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Webmaster
Yesterday at 07:35 PM
SPC Jan 8, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookSPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook  Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0132 PM CST Thu Jan 08 2026
Valid 082000Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI...MISSISSIPPI...AND OHIO RIVER VALLEYS...
...SUMMARY... An isolated risk for damaging gusts and possibly a tornado will continue tonight from the Ozark Plateau eastward into the low/mid Mississippi and lower Ohio Valleys.
...20z Update... The Slight Risk across eastern Oklahoma into southeast Kansas, western Missouri, and western Arkansas was removed with this update. The Marginal Risk was also trimmed behind ongoing convection. A broken line of storms continues eastward from southern Missouri into central Arkansas but has shown signs of weakening as it has outrun the better moisture to the south. Hi-res guidance from the HRRR and RRFS suggest redevelopment of stronger storms, and perhaps a supercell or two, will be possible across central and northeastern Arkansas later this afternoon.
There are a few breaks in the cloud cover across central/southern Arkansas that could allow for pockets of heating by the afternoon, but overall thermal profiles appear meager, though deep layer shear will remain strong. This leads to some uncertainty in maintenance of any supercells that do develop and as such, a Marginal was maintained to support some isolated threat.
Another location of interest for the evening will be across portions of Illinois, as mentioned in the previous outlook. Across south-central Illinois some better overlap of weak surface-based instability beneath the LLJ may occur later this evening. See previous discussion below for more information.
..Thornton.. 01/08/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1034 AM CST Thu Jan 08 2026/
...Ozark Plateau... Water-vapor imagery late this morning shows a potent, negatively tilted shortwave trough and associated speed max/dry slot moving northeast across the KS-OK border. A broad moist conveyor ahead of the upper disturbance is contributing to a plume of 50s to lower 60s dewpoints from AR into MO ahead of a northeastward-migrating cyclone forecast to move from KS to northern Lower MI. A broken band of severe thunderstorms this morning is moving rapidly northeast posing primarily a severe-wind gust risk over western parts of the Ozark Plateau through the midday hours. Weaker buoyancy farther east will be partially offset by a strong northward flux of low-level moisture as the airmass slowly destabilizes beneath an extensive cloud canopy. It remains uncertain whether a focused and more concentrated risk for severe will persist into the afternoon across the Ozarks. Nonetheless, an established/mature convective band may continue to yield wind-damage potential given the strong kinematics. ...Lower MO Valley into the Mid MS and Lower OH Valleys... Strengthening southerly low-level flow and the intensification of a LLJ (60-70 kt) will favor a gradual moistening from south to north across the region through the afternoon and into the evening. Forecast soundings later today into this evening show enlarged hodographs across portions of IL where meager buoyancy is eventually forecast to develop. Considered a small Slight-Risk but uncertainty in buoyancy magnitude and possible convective line-parallel shear lowers confidence for perhaps a more focused wind hazard this evening. However, have adjusted low-tornado probabilities farther north into central IL to the southeast of the evolving cyclone where weak surface-based buoyancy may develop.
...Mid-South/Lower MS Valley... Much of the region will remain free of convection until after 04Z when increasing low-level confluence may support isolated thunderstorms. Buoyancy will be modest, but vertical shear will be strong enough to support the potential for a few damaging gusts.
...Southern AZ... A shortwave trough and associated jet streak are forecast to progress across AZ today. Scant low-level moisture will be in place ahead of this wave but cooling mid-level temperatures and modest mid-level moisture could still support limited buoyancy and the potential for isolated thunderstorms. Given the robust mid-level flow associated with this system, a few stronger gusts are possible. However, overall coverage is currently expected to remain below 5%.
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_2000.html
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SPC Jan 8, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Webmaster
Yesterday at 07:29 PM
SPC Jan 8, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm OutlookSPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook  Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CST Thu Jan 08 2026
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE SOUTHEAST INTO PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA...
...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday from the Southeast into parts of the Carolinas and southern Virginia.
...Southeast into the Carolinas and Virginia... Within a swath of broad/strong midlevel southwesterly flow across the eastern half of the CONUS, a robust midlevel jet will advance northeastward from the lower OH Valley into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast -- while phasing with an upstream trough and related midlevel jet. An accompanying frontal wave/weak surface cyclone -- initially over the TN Valley -- will track northeastward along a remnant frontal zone toward the Northeast in tandem with the midlevel jet.
At the start of the period, broken bands of thunderstorms will likely be ongoing across the central Gulf Coast into the Southeast, along/east of the frontal zone/surface wave. While buoyancy will be somewhat limited (especially with northward extent toward northern AL), ample boundary-layer moisture and a focused low-level jet will continue to promote a few strong to severe storms, with a risk of damaging gusts and a tornado. While uncertain, there appears to be a corridor of relatively higher severe potential from parts of south-central AL into GA, and this area continues to be monitored for a potential upgrade.
Thunderstorms will spread east-northeastward through the day, as the midlevel jet and surface wave track northeastward. Buoyancy will become limited with northward extent, though the northeastward-moving low-level jet and strong deep-layer shear will continue to yield a risk of damaging gusts and perhaps a tornado with any stronger storms that spread into the Carolinas and southern VA.
..Weinman.. 01/08/2026
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_1930.html
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Webmaster
Yesterday at 07:22 PM
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0120 PM CST Thu Jan 08 2026
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
The Elevated area was expanded in the Big Bend and into northwest Texas, while it was adjusted from Del Rio to Laredo into the western Hill Country based on the latest high-resolution forecast guidance. West-northwest sustained winds of 15-25 mph and minimum RH of 15-25% are likely from the Big Bend into northwest Texas and the western Hill Country during the afternoon and early evening. Winds will shift to north-northwest as another cold front drops south across Texas during the evening and overnight. Locally elevated to elevated conditions are expected in the evening across the western Hill Country/vicinity and shifting southwards into portions of south Texas overnight, mostly focused closer to the Rio Grande.
Gusty and dry north-northeast winds are expected again across southern California, but recent precipitation has left fuel moisture above normal and well above critical thresholds.
..Nauslar.. 01/08/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0153 AM CST Thu Jan 08 2026/
...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will gradually traverse the central CONUS today, supporting the development of a weak surface low over the Sabine River Valley, with a surface cold front sweeping across the southern Plains tomorrow (Friday). To the west of the aforementioned low and ahead of the surface cold front, dry downslope flow is expected across much of western Texas Friday afternoon for at least a few hours. 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds will overlap with 15-20 percent RH. Elevated highlights have been added to account for these conditions. There are questions regarding how appreciable rainfall accumulations will be in west-central Texas, where Elevated highlights may need adjustments in future outlooks.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html
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World Earthquake Report for Thursday, 8 January 2026
Webmaster
Yesterday at 06:20 PM
World Earthquake Report for Thursday, 8 January 2026 Worldwide earthquakes above magnitude 3 during the past 24 hours on 8 Jan 2026 Summary: 5 quakes 5.0+, 36 quakes 4.0+, 160 quakes 3.0+, 435 quakes 2.0+ (636 total)This report is being updated every hour.Magnitude 5+: 5 earthquakes Magnitude 4+: 36 earthquakes Magnitude 3+: 160 earthquakes Magnitude 2+: 435 earthquakes No quakes of magnitude 6 or higher 10 largest earthquakes in the world (past 24 hours)Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 11:00 am (GMT +13) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 12:17 am (Lima time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 10:00 pm (Dushanbe time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 11:14 am (San Juan time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 01:21 pm (Port Moresby time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 11:57 pm (Jayapura time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 11:33 pm (GMT +11) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 08:08 am (Guadalcanal time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 03:57 am (Jayapura time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 02:50 am (GMT +1) - Earthquakes reported feltThursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 06:32 pm (GMT +1) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 12:17 am (Lima time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 09:26 pm (Yangon time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 06:30 pm (Kolkata time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 12:00 am (Los Angeles time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 11:14 am (San Juan time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 01:25 pm (GMT +2) - Wednesday, Jan 7, 2026, at 03:56 pm (GMT -8) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 06:53 pm (GMT +1) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 02:31 am (GMT +1) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 10:00 pm (Dushanbe time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 10:01 am (GMT -6) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 12:00 am (GMT -8) - Wednesday, Jan 7, 2026, at 03:32 pm (Santo Domingo time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 02:50 am (GMT +1) - Friday, Jan 9, 2026, at 12:30 am (Taipei time) - Thursday, Jan 8, 2026, at 01:06 am (GMT -4) - Wednesday, Jan 7, 2026, at 11:57 pm (GMT +1) - Earthquake stats  https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquake/news/291346/World-Earthquake-Report-for-Thursday-8-January-2026.html
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Seismic-like event, possible earthquake, reported few minutes ago near Naples, Campania, Italy
Webmaster
Yesterday at 05:58 PM
Seismic-like event, possible earthquake, reported few minutes ago near Naples, Campania, Italy Unconfirmed quake or seismic-like event reported: 12 km west of Naples, Napoli, Campania, Italy, 5 minutes ago We are receiving unverified early reports of ground shaking possibly caused by seismic activity in or near Naples, Campania, Italy on 8 Jan 2026 (GMT) at approximately 17:53 GMT. There are no details yet on the magnitude or depth of this possible quake. If confirmed, we can expect more accurate data to emerge in the next few minutes. The location, magnitude and time mentioned are indicative, based on our best-fit seismic model. They are temporary until our AllQuakes monitoring service receives more exact scientific data from a national or international seismological agency. Check back here shortly and stay safe.
Earthquake data: Date & time: Jan 8, 2026 06:53 pm (GMT +1) local time (8 Jan 2026 17:53 GMT)Magnitude: unspecified Depth: unspecified Epicenter latitude / longitude: 40.82°N / 14.14°E  ( Campania, Italy) Primary data source: VolcanoDiscoveryhttps://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquake/news/291430/Seismic-like-event-possible-earthquake-reported-few-minutes-ago-near-Naples-Campania-Italy.html
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Volcano earthquake report for Thursday, 8 Jan 2026
Webmaster
Yesterday at 05:50 PM
Volcano earthquake report for Thursday, 8 Jan 2026 World map showing volcanoes with shallow (less than 50 km) earthquakes within 20 km radius during the past 24 hours on 8 Jan 2026 Number in brackets indicate nr of quakes. Quakes detected near: Akagi (3 quakes between mag 0.5-1.2), Akita-Yake-yama (1 quake mag 1.2), Akuseki-jima (1 quake mag 2.6), Aso (2 quakes between mag 0.3-1.8), Baluran (1 quake mag 2.7), Bibinoi (1 quake mag 4.9) Campi Flegrei (Phlegrean Fields) (10 quakes between mag 0.1-2.6), Clear Lake (47 quakes between mag 0.3-4.2), El Chichón (19 quakes between mag 1.7-2.9), Garibaldi (1 quake mag 3.0), Gran Canaria (3 quakes between mag 1.9-2.1), Hiuchi (5 quakes between mag 0.1-1.5), Komaga-take (4 quakes between mag 1.0-1.4), Kurikoma (1 quake mag 1.0), Ljósufjöll (10 quakes between mag 0.8-2.4), Loihi (2 quakes between mag 1.7-1.7), Mammoth Mountain (1 quake mag 1.4), Maunaloa (2 quakes between mag 1.8-2.3), Miravalles (1 quake mag 1.9), Novarupta (2 quakes between mag 0.7-1.2), Piton de la Fournaise (1 quake mag 1.4), Platanar (1 quake mag 1.7), Prestahnukur (2 quakes between mag 1.3-1.5), Rinjani (1 quake mag 2.2), Santorini (1 quake mag 2.0), Sibayak (1 quake mag 3.0), Sinabung (1 quake mag 2.3), Taranaki (1 quake mag 1.7), Taupo (1 quake mag 1.8), Tenerife (2 quakes between mag 0.7-1.1), Tenorio (1 quake mag 1.8), Tjörnes Fracture Zone (4 quakes between mag 0.7-1.5), Trident (1 quake mag 1.0), Unzen (1 quake mag 1.3) (updated 17h50) Note: Earthquakes within 20 km from and at depths less than 50 km under active volcanoes are reported. The list is not complete because many volcanoes are not monitored and/or seismic data in high resolution is not available publicly.
Volcanoes with recent earthquakes above magnitude 2 or more than 10 quakes are listed below:
Akuseki-jima volcano (Ryukyu Islands): magnitude 2.6 earthquakeA magnitude 2.6 earthquake occurred at the volcano 6 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 13.00 km depth at 7 km distance SSE from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.6 quake East China Sea, Kagoshima-ken, 24 km southwest of Suwanose-jima Island, Japan, Jan 8, 2026 08:49 pm (GMT +9) (7 km SSE) All earthquakes at Akuseki-jimaBaluran volcano (East Java): magnitude 2.7 earthquakeA magnitude 2.7 earthquake occurred at the volcano 11 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 16.00 km depth at 9 km distance ENE from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.7 quake Kabupaten Situbondo, 21 km north of Wongsorejo, Indonesia, Jan 8, 2026 01:33 pm (GMT +7) (9 km ENE) All earthquakes at BaluranBibinoi volcano (Halmahera): magnitude 4.9 earthquakeA magnitude 4.9 earthquake occurred at the volcano 3 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 19 km distance NNW from the volcano. Earthquake details: 4.9 quake 17 km east of Labuha, Kabupaten Halmahera Selatan, North Maluku, Indonesia, Jan 8, 2026 11:57 pm (Jayapura time) (19 km NNW) All earthquakes at BibinoiCampi Flegrei (Phlegrean Fields) volcano (Italy): 10 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.610 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 22 hours, the last being recorded quake 1 hour 3 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 2.99 and 0.56 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 2.6 quake 12 km west of Naples, Napoli, Campania, Italy, Jan 8, 2026 05:44 pm (GMT +1) (1 km W) 1.0 quake 3.6 km southeast of Pozzuoli, Napoli, Campania, Italy, Jan 8, 2026 05:45 pm (GMT +1) (1 km WSW) 0.2 quake 12 km west of Naples, Napoli, Campania, Italy, Jan 8, 2026 05:29 pm (GMT +1) (0 km W) 0.2 quake 12 km west of Naples, Napoli, Campania, Italy, Jan 8, 2026 05:27 pm (GMT +1) (1 km WNW) 0.2 quake 0.9 km southwest of Pozzuoli, Napoli, Campania, Italy, Jan 8, 2026 06:58 am (GMT +1) (5 km WNW) All earthquakes at Campi Flegrei (Phlegrean Fields)Clear Lake volcano (California): 47 earthquakes up to magnitude 4.2Possible earthquake swarm: 47 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 22 hours, the last being recorded quake 60 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 6.25 and 0.76 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 4.2 quake 29 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, Jan 8, 2026 12:00 am (Los Angeles time) (18 km SSW) 2.6 quake 29 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, Jan 8, 2026 12:00 am (GMT -8) (17 km SSW) 1.6 quake Sonoma County, 13 mi southwest of Clearlake, Lake County, California, United States, Jan 8, 2026 12:32 am (GMT -8) (17 km S) 1.6 quake 29 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, Jan 8, 2026 12:39 am (GMT -8) (18 km SSW) 1.6 quake 28 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, Jan 7, 2026 11:34 pm (GMT -8) (18 km SSW) All earthquakes at Clear LakeEl Chichón volcano (Southern Mexico): 19 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.9Possible earthquake swarm: 19 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 16 hours, the last being recorded quake 7 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 3.40 and 2.30 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 2.9 quake Estado de Chiapas, 33 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Jan 8, 2026 04:25 am (GMT -6) (7 km ESE) 2.9 quake Estado de Chiapas, 38 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Jan 8, 2026 03:53 am (GMT -6) (1 km SW) 2.8 quake Estado de Chiapas, 40 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Jan 7, 2026 12:16 pm (GMT -6) (4 km SW) 2.8 quake Estado de Chiapas, 38 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Jan 7, 2026 05:33 pm (GMT -6) (1 km SSW) 2.7 quake Estado de Chiapas, 37 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Jan 8, 2026 04:29 am (GMT -6) (1 km SW) All earthquakes at El ChichónGaribaldi volcano (Canada): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 20 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 17 km distance SW from the volcano. Earthquake details: Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 3.5 km north of Squamish, Squamish-Lillooetal, British Columbia, Canada, Jan 7, 2026 01:28 pm (GMT -8) (17 km SW) All earthquakes at GaribaldiGran Canaria volcano (Canary Islands): 3 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.13 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 1 hour 11 minutes, the last being recorded quake 21 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 18.00 and 6.00 km. Earthquake details: 2.1 quake 8.6 km north of Mogan, Las Palmas, Canary Islands, Spain, Jan 7, 2026 07:21 pm (Universal Time) (17 km SW) 1.9 quake 28 km west of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas, Canary Islands, Spain, Jan 7, 2026 08:26 pm (Universal Time) (10 km NW) 1.9 quake 25 km northwest of San Bartolome de Tirajana, Las Palmas, Canary Islands, Spain, Jan 7, 2026 07:15 pm (Universal Time) (18 km W) All earthquakes at Gran CanariaLjósufjöll volcano (Iceland): 10 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.410 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 20 hours, the last being recorded quake 4 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 21.60 and 9.20 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 2.4 quake 29.4 km N of Borgarnes Jan 8, 2026 01:37 pm (Universal Time) (15 km ESE) 2.2 quake 29.0 km N of Borgarnes Jan 8, 2026 12:21 pm (Universal Time) (16 km ESE) 1.8 quake 29.6 km N of Borgarnes Jan 8, 2026 02:04 pm (Universal Time) (15 km ESE) 1.6 quake 29.6 km N of Borgarnes Jan 8, 2026 12:37 pm (Universal Time) (15 km ESE) 1.6 quake 28.9 km N of Borgarnes Jan 8, 2026 12:38 pm (Universal Time) (15 km ESE) All earthquakes at LjósufjöllMaunaloa volcano (Hawai'i (Big Island)): 2 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.32 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 4 hours, the last being recorded quake 22 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 49.36 and 39.39 km. Earthquake details: 2.3 quake 38 mi southwest of Hilo, Hawaii County, Hawaii, United States, Jan 8, 2026 03:19 am (GMT -10) (6 km SSE) 1.8 quake 37 mi southwest of Hilo, Hawaii County, Hawaii, United States, Jan 8, 2026 07:27 am (GMT -10) (8 km SE) All earthquakes at MaunaloaRinjani volcano (Lombok): magnitude 2.2 earthquakeA magnitude 2.2 earthquake occurred at the volcano 20 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 16.00 km depth at 15 km distance ENE from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.2 quake 33 km north of Selong, Kabupaten Lombok Timur, West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia, Jan 8, 2026 05:56 am (GMT +8) (15 km ENE) All earthquakes at RinjaniSibayak volcano (Sumatra): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 18 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 3.00 km depth at 17 km distance SSE from the volcano. Earthquake details: 3.0 quake 5.4 km east of Kabanjahe, Kabupaten Karo, North Sumatra, Indonesia, Jan 8, 2026 07:15 am (GMT +7) (17 km SSE) All earthquakes at SibayakSinabung volcano (Sumatra): magnitude 2.3 earthquakeA magnitude 2.3 earthquake occurred at the volcano 15 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 8.00 km depth at 19 km distance SSE from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.3 quake 9 km south of Kabanjahe, Kabupaten Karo, North Sumatra, Indonesia, Jan 8, 2026 10:07 am (GMT +7) (19 km SSE) All earthquakes at SinabungUnnamed 24.00°N/121.83°E volcano (Taiwan): magnitude 3.7 earthquakeA magnitude 3.7 earthquake occurred at the volcano 3 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 21.90 km depth at 14 km distance WNW from the volcano. Earthquake details: 3.7 quake Philippine Sea, 12 km northeast of Hualien City, Taiwan, Jan 8, 2026 10:40 pm (Taipei time) (14 km WNW) All earthquakes at Unnamed 24.00°N/121.83°EUnnamed 52.92°N/158.52°E volcano (Southern Kamchatka): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 9 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 19 km distance N from the volcano. Earthquake details: Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 5.4 km northwest of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy, Kamchatka, Russia, Jan 8, 2026 09:02 pm (GMT +12) (19 km N) All earthquakes at Unnamed 52.92°N/158.52°Ehttps://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquakes-volcanoes/news/291333/Volcano-earthquake-report-for-Thursday-8-Jan-2026.html
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Moderate magnitude 4.0 quake hits 72 km northeast of Tetouan, Morocco early evening
Webmaster
Yesterday at 05:43 PM
Moderate magnitude 4.0 quake hits 72 km northeast of Tetouan, Morocco early evening Just 10 minutes ago, a 4.0-magnitude earthquake struck near Tetouan, Tanger-Tetouan-Al Hoceima, Morocco. The tremor was recorded early evening on Thursday, January 8th, 2026, at 6:32 pm local time, at an intermediate depth of 75.20 km below the surface. The event was filed by the European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC), the first seismological agency to report it. A second report was later issued by the citizen-seismograph network of RaspberryShake, which listed it as a magnitude 4.0 earthquake as well. A third agency, Spain's Instituto Geográfico Nacional (IGN), reported the same quake at magnitude 4.0. Towns or cities near the epicenter where the quake might have been felt as very weak shaking include Oued Laou (pop. 10,600) located 56 km from the epicenter, Martil (pop. 70,300) 62 km away, Mdiq (pop. 61,400) 66 km away, Fnidek (pop. 84,600) 68 km away, and Tetouan (pop. 415,800) 72 km away. In Gibraltar (pop. 26,500, 80 km away), Al Hoceima (pop. 395,600, 83 km away), and Tirhanimine (pop. 55,800, 83 km away), the quake was probably not felt.
Earthquake data: Date & time: Jan 8, 2026 06:32 pm (GMT +1) local time (8 Jan 2026 17:32 GMT)Magnitude: 4.0 Depth: 75.20 km Epicenter latitude / longitude: 35.76°N / 4.61°W  ( Morocco) Primary data source: EMSChttps://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquake/news/291428/Moderate-magnitude-40-quake-hits-72-km-northeast-of-Tetouan-Morocco-early-evening-.html
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SPC Jan 8, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Webmaster
Yesterday at 05:31 PM
SPC Jan 8, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective OutlookSPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook  Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CST Thu Jan 08 2026
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO THE LOWER MS AND TN VALLEYS...
...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast on Friday from the central Gulf Coast into parts of the lower Mississippi, Tennessee and Ohio Valleys.
...East TX into the Lower MS/TN/OH Valleys... At the start of the period, a midlevel shortwave trough and accompanying surface cyclone will be departing the Great Lakes region, while a southwestward-extending cold front moves eastward across the OH and TN Valleys -- stalling with southward extent across the lower MS Valley and western Gulf Coast. Bands of thunderstorms will be ongoing within a plume of low-level warm advection along/ahead of the front -- within an environment characterized by strong deep-layer flow/shear and limited buoyancy. Given the expected linear nature of these storms amid strong low-level flow, damaging gusts will be the primary concern before this activity outpaces the warm sector with eastward extent.
Farther south and west, a broad midlevel trough will move eastward across the southern Plains toward the MS Valley through the period. Guidance has trended generally slower with this feature in recent runs, with only modest midlevel height falls impinging on the frontal zone and warm sector during the peak convective period. As a result, the overall low-level mass response appears to be somewhat muted compared to earlier runs, with initial frontal-wave development farther south near LA.
Nevertheless, strengthening low-level warm advection east of the developing frontal wave/surface cyclone will yield an uptick in thunderstorm coverage and intensity within confluence bands from the central Gulf Coast northward into the lower MS and TN Valleys during the afternoon into the evening/overnight hours. Here, upper 60s to near 70 dewpoints (already in place along the central Gulf Coast) will spread northward and destabilize the inland air mass. Despite modest buoyancy, this rich moisture and strong low/deep-layer shear (with increasing low-level hodograph size/curvature) will favor a mix of semi-discrete supercells and clusters -- posing a risk of damaging gusts and a couple tornadoes. Depending on the strength of the low-level jet/mass response, a corridor of higher severe potential will be possible from parts of LA into southern/central MS.
Additional thunderstorm development/intensification is possible in east TX along/ahead of the stalling front during the afternoon, where sufficient buoyancy and a long/straight hodograph will support a couple organized storms and attendant risk of damaging winds and severe hail.
..Weinman.. 01/08/2026
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.html
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Significant 5.3 quake hits near Murghab, Gorno-Badakhshan, Tajikistan
Webmaster
Yesterday at 05:10 PM
Significant 5.3 quake hits near Murghab, Gorno-Badakhshan, Tajikistan A moderately shallow magnitude 5.3 earthquake was reported late at night near Murghab, Gorno-Badakhshan, Tajikistan. According to the European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC), the quake hit on Thursday, January 8th, 2026, at 10:00 pm local time at a moderately shallow depth of 56. km. The exact magnitude, epicenter, and depth of the quake might be revised within the next few hours or minutes as seismologists review data and refine their calculations, or as other agencies issue their report. Our monitoring service identified a second report from the citizen-seismograph network of RaspberryShake which listed the quake at magnitude 5.3 as well. Other agencies reporting the same quake include France's Réseau National de Surveillance Sismique (RéNaSS) at magnitude 5.2, and the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ) at magnitude 5.3. Generally quakes of this magnitude are recorded by more than one agency and the results can vary, with subsequent reports that come in after the first one often showing more accuracy. Based on the preliminary seismic data, the quake should not have caused any significant damage, but was probably felt by many people as light vibration in the area of the epicenter. Weak shaking might have been felt in Murghab (pop. 10,800) located 108 km from the epicenter. VolcanoDiscovery will automatically update magnitude and depth if these change and follow up if other significant news about the quake become available. If you’re in the area, please send us your experience through our reporting mechanism, either online or via our mobile app. This will help us provide more first-hand updates to anyone around the globe who wants to know more about this quake.
Earthquake data: Date & time: Jan 8, 2026 10:00 pm (Dushanbe time) local time (8 Jan 2026 17:00 GMT)Magnitude: 5.3 Depth: 56.00 km Epicenter latitude / longitude: 37.43°N / 74.76°E  ( Tumxuk, Gorno-Badakhshan, Tajikistan) Primary data source: EMSChttps://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquake/news/291424/Significant-53-quake-hits-near-Murghab-Gorno-Badakhshan-Tajikistan.html
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SPC Jan 8, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Webmaster
Yesterday at 04:37 PM
SPC Jan 8, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookSPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook  Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1034 AM CST Thu Jan 08 2026
Valid 081630Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WESTERN MISSOURI AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
...SUMMARY... Scattered severe gusts are possible through midday across eastern portions of Oklahoma and Kansas into western parts of Missouri and northwest Arkansas. A more broad and isolated risk for damaging gusts and possibly a tornado will persist into tonight from the Ozark Plateau eastward into the low/mid Mississippi and lower Ohio Valleys.
...Ozark Plateau... Water-vapor imagery late this morning shows a potent, negatively tilted shortwave trough and associated speed max/dry slot moving northeast across the KS-OK border. A broad moist conveyor ahead of the upper disturbance is contributing to a plume of 50s to lower 60s dewpoints from AR into MO ahead of a northeastward-migrating cyclone forecast to move from KS to northern Lower MI. A broken band of severe thunderstorms this morning is moving rapidly northeast posing primarily a severe-wind gust risk over western parts of the Ozark Plateau through the midday hours. Weaker buoyancy farther east will be partially offset by a strong northward flux of low-level moisture as the airmass slowly destabilizes beneath an extensive cloud canopy. It remains uncertain whether a focused and more concentrated risk for severe will persist into the afternoon across the Ozarks. Nonetheless, an established/mature convective band may continue to yield wind-damage potential given the strong kinematics. ...Lower MO Valley into the Mid MS and Lower OH Valleys... Strengthening southerly low-level flow and the intensification of a LLJ (60-70 kt) will favor a gradual moistening from south to north across the region through the afternoon and into the evening. Forecast soundings later today into this evening show enlarged hodographs across portions of IL where meager buoyancy is eventually forecast to develop. Considered a small Slight-Risk but uncertainty in buoyancy magnitude and possible convective line-parallel shear lowers confidence for perhaps a more focused wind hazard this evening. However, have adjusted low-tornado probabilities farther north into central IL to the southeast of the evolving cyclone where weak surface-based buoyancy may develop.
...Mid-South/Lower MS Valley... Much of the region will remain free of convection until after 04Z when increasing low-level confluence may support isolated thunderstorms. Buoyancy will be modest, but vertical shear will be strong enough to support the potential for a few damaging gusts.
...Southern AZ... A shortwave trough and associated jet streak are forecast to progress across AZ today. Scant low-level moisture will be in place ahead of this wave but cooling mid-level temperatures and modest mid-level moisture could still support limited buoyancy and the potential for isolated thunderstorms. Given the robust mid-level flow associated with this system, a few stronger gusts are possible. However, overall coverage is currently expected to remain below 5%.
..Smith/Jirak.. 01/08/2026
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1630.html
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Webmaster
Yesterday at 03:36 PM
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0935 AM CST Thu Jan 08 2026
Valid 081700Z - 091200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
Locally elevated conditions remain likely across portions of southwest into west-central Texas mostly from just east-northeast of the Big Bend extending onto the Edwards Plateau and into the western Hill Country then extending southward towards Del Rio/vicinity. This area missed the recent rainfall, and westerly sustained winds of 15-20 mph and minimum RH of 20-30% are likely to develop across portions of this area.
..Nauslar.. 01/08/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0136 AM CST Thu Jan 08 2026/
...Synopsis... A broad mid-level trough, with multiple embedded mid-level impulses, will traverse the central U.S. today, with a surface cyclone poised to deepen while translating from the central Plains to the Great Lakes in tandem with the first mid-level impulse. As this occurs, a broad region of 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds will overspread western Texas into Oklahoma behind a cold front through the day. However, RH will dip only into the 25-40 percent range, and will be preceded by appreciable rainfall accumulations, putting fuel receptiveness to wildfire spread into question. While localized wildfire spread potential is evident, such conditions do not appear widespread enough to warrant fire weather highlights.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html
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