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Volcano earthquake report for Sunday, 25 October 2026
• M 2.8 - 18 km SSE of Meeker, Colorado
• M 4.2 - 86 km ESE of Ollagüe, Chile
• M 1.9 - 22 km ENE of Ashford, Washington
• M 2.7 - 48 km SW of Primo Tapia, B.C., MX
• Moderate mag. 4.6 earthquake - Banda Sea, 119 km northwest of Pulau Molu Is...
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Webmaster
6 minutes ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook 
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0444 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026
Valid 271200Z - 021200Z
...Synopsis...
A series of mid-level short wave troughs will eject northeastward
into the Central Plains and Upper Midwest through Day 5/Thursday,
supporting areas of precipitation across the Plains towards the
Great Lakes through midweek. A strong mid-level jet stretching from
the Great Basin to the Northern Plains will couple with an evolving
surface trough in eastern MT to support enhanced westerly winds
across portions of eastern/northeastern WY Day 3/Tuesday. However,
marginal fuels, limited RH reductions and cooler temperatures should
mitigate a broader fire weather threat across WY.
A broader trough pattern with an increasing southwesterly flow
component returns across the western U.S. through the end of the
week. Ridging will likely remain in place across the eastern U.S.
promoting persistent dry and warm conditions across much of the Deep
South. Fuels are driest across the lower MS River Basin but light
surface winds will tend to limit significant fire weather concerns
through the week.
..Williams.. 10/25/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/
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SPC MD 2410
Webmaster
6 minutes ago
SPC MD 2410MD 2410 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS AND THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE 
Mesoscale Discussion 2410
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0348 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026
Areas affected...Portions of southern/eastern New Mexico into far
west Texas and the western Texas Panhandle
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 252048Z - 252315Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated severe hail/wind gusts and perhaps a brief
tornado may occur this afternoon into early evening. Watch issuance
appears unlikely at this time.
DISCUSSION...Compared to locations farther north in NM, parts of far
west TX have experienced stronger heating in the presence of greater
low-level moisture (surface dewpoints generally in the upper 50s to
low 60s). Convective initiation is underway across the higher
terrain of far west TX/southeast NM. A combination of moderate
instability and deep-layer shear should prove sufficient for
thunderstorm organization, including the potential for a supercell
or two capable of producing isolated severe hail/wind. However,
better forcing for ascent associated with an ejecting mid-level
shortwave trough over the Four Corners to the central Rockies will
likely tend to remain displaced to the north of this region.
Therefore, current expectations are for strong to severe
thunderstorm coverage to remain fairly limited across southeast
NM/far west TX.
Across east-central NM, a small line segment has recently
strengthened per radar/satellite imagery. This convection should
track northeastward into parts of the western TX Panhandle over the
next couple of hours. Currently, widespread cloudiness is hindering
boundary-layer destabilization downstream of this activity. But, low
60s surface temperatures/dewpoints are attempting to stream
northward along/near an almost stationary front from far
east-central NM into adjacent areas of the western TX Panhandle. The
latest VWP from KFDX shows sufficient low-level shear to support
some risk for a brief tornado, assuming convection can become/remain
surface based. Isolated severe gusts could also occur.
For both regions, the overall severe risk is currently expected to
remain fairly isolated through the afternoon/early evening, and
watch issuance appears unlikely at this time.
..Gleason/Mosier.. 10/25/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...
LAT...LON 31870703 32720672 33120655 33310525 33660468 34610457
35210425 35640365 35740291 35580247 35160236 34410258
33280329 31680316 31190329 30670402 30590487 30840547
31310603 31650646 31870703
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2410.html
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