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SPC Mar 3, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Webmaster
3 hours ago
SPC Mar 3, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookSPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook  Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CST Tue Mar 03 2026
Valid 032000Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS INTO MISSOURI AND WESTERN ILLINOIS...
CORRECTED FOR TESTING THE CORRECTION PROCESS
...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail may occur this evening into the overnight hours across parts of the southern/central Plains into Missouri and western Illinois.
...20z Update... The Marginal Risk continues across parts of the southern/central Plains into Missouri and western Illinois. Moisture continues northward, observed in visible satellite and 60 F dew points increasing from the south into southern Kansas. Thunderstorm development is still expected to be delayed into the evening as modest capping remains in place. Some conditional risk for large hail (some up to 1.5-2" in diameter) will be possible, mainly across northwest Oklahoma into southern Kansas. In this region, a favorable overlap of MLCAPE around 1000-1500 J/kg will overlap with steep mid-level lapse rates and deep layer shear near the frontal boundary.
..Thornton.. 03/03/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1030 AM CST Tue Mar 03 2026/
...Southern/Central Plains into Missouri and Western Illinois... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a mid-level shortwave trough over the central Rockies and this feature will move into the central High Plains late tonight. A frontal zone this morning is draped from near the Raton Mesa into the TX Panhandle extends east-northeastward across northern OK into the Ozarks. A weak surface low over northeast NM and the OK/TX Panhandles this morning will gradually develop towards northwest TX by this evening. Southerly low-level flow will maintain a moist fetch into OK today and into the Ozarks and parts of the mid MS Valley. A dryline is forecast to mix eastward across the southern High Plains by late this afternoon, intersecting the surface front in the northwest TX/southwest OK vicinity.
Convection will likely be inhibited during the day across much of the MRGL Risk owing to both capping and weak mid-level shortwave ridging. The strongest heating and low-level convergence is forecast across parts of northwest TX/southwest OK where convective inhibition will become weakened by late afternoon. Have adjusted severe hail probabilities farther south into parts of northwest TX to account for the potential for a supercell or two this evening into the overnight hours. As large-scale forcing for ascent continues to strengthen through the evening into the overnight, expected widely scattered thunderstorms to eventually develop near the frontal zone (perhaps favoring a northwest OK/southern KS corridor). Large hail will be the hazard with the stronger storms. Around 1000-1500 J/kg of MUCAPE, steepened mid-level lapse rates, and strong effective bulk shear suggest that some of these cells may pose a threat for isolated severe hail as they spread from OK/KS into MO and western IL through early Wednesday morning.
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_2000.html
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SPC Mar 3, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Webmaster
3 hours ago
SPC Mar 3, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm OutlookSPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook  Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CST Tue Mar 03 2026
Valid 051200Z - 061200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT FROM WEST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL KANSAS...
...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected Thursday afternoon and into Thursday night from west Texas into Kansas. Large hail appears to be the main threat, though a couple of tornadoes and isolated severe gusts will also be possible.
...Southern/central Plains Thursday afternoon/night... Amplification of a midlevel trough is expected near the Four Corners Thursday into Thursday night, as a downstream lee cyclone deepens across eastern CO. The deepening cyclone will draw moisture northward from TX across the southern/central Plains through early Friday in the developing warm sector. The lee trough/dryline will be located near or just west of the KS/CO and TX/NM borders by late afternoon as the cyclone deepens in place. Surface heating in cloud breaks could allow sufficient vertical mixing to weaken convective inhibition and allow isolated thunderstorm development along and just east of the dryline by late afternoon across the TX Panhandle/South Plains into southwest KS. The storm environment will conditionally favor supercells capable of producing large hail near or just in excess of 2 inches in diameter. The tornado threat will be a little greater by early evening as low-level shear increases and near 60 F dewpoints surge northward from OK into KS, though the tornado threat will depend on a supercell or two persisting into late evening.
Otherwise, elevated convection will spread northeastward Thursday night as the low-level jet and associated warm/moist advection increase. Steep midlevel lapse rates will support the potential for large hail with the overnight convection as far north as NE/IA.
..Thompson.. 03/03/2026
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_1930.html
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World Earthquake Report for March 2026
Webmaster
4 hours ago
World Earthquake Report for March 2026 Worldwide earthquakes above magnitude 5.5 during March 2026 Summary: 3 quakes 6.0+, 14 quakes 5.0+, 111 quakes 4.0+, 412 quakes 3.0+, 963 quakes 2.0+ (1503 total)This report is being updated every day.Magnitude 9+: none Magnitude 8+: none Magnitude 7+: none Magnitude 6+: 3 earthquakes Magnitude 5+: 14 earthquakes Magnitude 4+: 111 earthquakes Magnitude 3+: 412 earthquakes Magnitude 2+: 963 earthquakes No quakes of magnitude 7 or higher List of 10 largest earthquakes in the world during March 2026:Sunday, Mar 1, 2026, at 06:44 pm (GMT +13) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 11:56 am (Pontianak time) - Monday, Mar 2, 2026, at 01:55 pm (GMT +10) - Monday, Mar 2, 2026, at 07:39 pm (GMT +9) - Sunday, Mar 1, 2026, at 06:00 pm (GMT +9) - Earthquake stats:  https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/view_news/296458/World-Earthquake-Report-for-March-2026.html
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Volcano earthquake report for Tuesday, 3 Mar 2026
Webmaster
4 hours ago
Volcano earthquake report for Tuesday, 3 Mar 2026 World map showing volcanoes with shallow (less than 50 km) earthquakes within 20 km radius during the past 24 hours on 3 Mar 2026 Number in brackets indicate nr of quakes. Quakes detected near: Apaneca Range (3 quakes between mag 1.4-2.1), Cabalian (2 quakes between mag 1.9-3.1), Cerro Singüil (1 quake mag 2.6), Clear Lake (25 quakes between mag 0.2-2.0), El Chichón (9 quakes between mag 1.8-2.6), Etna (3 quakes between mag 1.0-1.6) Granada (1 quake mag 3.0), Hulubelu (4 quakes between mag 2.1-2.3), Jailolo (1 quake mag 2.4), Katla (21 quakes between mag 0.0-3.0), Krísuvík (8 quakes between mag 0.0-1.5), Kupreanof (1 quake mag 2.5), Mammoth Mountain (6 quakes between mag 0.3-1.3), Maroa (4 quakes between mag 1.0-1.4), Masaya (1 quake mag 1.8), Maunaloa (2 quakes between mag 1.7-1.8), Mount St. Helens (1 quake mag 2.0), Nevado del Huila (2 quakes between mag 4.0-4.0), Olot Field (1 quake mag 3.6), Reporoa (2 quakes between mag 1.7-2.4), Sekincau Belirang (1 quake mag 2.2), Stepovak Bay 2 (1 quake mag 1.8), Sumbing (1 quake mag 2.1), Tecapa (1 quake mag 3.0), Tenerife (2 quakes between mag 1.5-3.0), Ugashik-Peulik (1 quake mag 1.7), Vesuvius (4 quakes between mag 0.1-1.0) (updated 18h50) Note: Earthquakes within 20 km from and at depths less than 50 km under active volcanoes are reported. The list is not complete because many volcanoes are not monitored and/or seismic data in high resolution is not available publicly.
Volcanoes with recent earthquakes above magnitude 2 or more than 10 quakes are listed below:
Apaneca Range volcano (El Salvador): 3 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.13 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 53 minutes, the last being recorded quake 18 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 8.00 and 4.00 km. Earthquake details: 2.1 quake 18 km north of Sonsonate, Departamento de Sonsonate, El Salvador, Mar 2, 2026 05:59 pm (GMT -6) (7 km ESE) 2.1 quake 17 km north of Sonsonate, Departamento de Sonsonate, El Salvador, Mar 2, 2026 06:52 pm (GMT -6) (8 km ESE) 1.4 quake 18 km north of Sonsonate, Departamento de Sonsonate, El Salvador, Mar 2, 2026 06:49 pm (GMT -6) (5 km ESE) All earthquakes at Apaneca RangeCabalian volcano (Central Philippines): 2 earthquakes up to magnitude 3.12 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 7 hours, the last being recorded quake 44 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 10.00 and 2.00 km. Earthquake details: 3.1 quake Province of Southern Leyte, 51 km east of Inopacan, Philippines, Mar 3, 2026 07:19 pm (GMT +8) (11 km NNW) 1.9 quake Philippine Sea, 22 km northeast of Panaon Island, Philippines, Mar 4, 2026 02:06 am (GMT +8) (16 km SE) All earthquakes at CabalianCerro Singüil volcano (El Salvador): magnitude 2.6 earthquakeA magnitude 2.6 earthquake occurred at the volcano 46 minutes ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 4.00 km depth at 14 km distance W from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.6 quake 13 km northeast of Ahuachapan, Departamento de Ahuachapan, El Salvador, Mar 3, 2026 12:03 pm (GMT -6) (14 km W) All earthquakes at Cerro SingüilClear Lake volcano (California): 25 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.0Possible earthquake swarm: 25 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 22 hours, the last being recorded quake 1 hour 44 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 7.34 and 1.04 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 2.0 quake Sonoma County, 14 mi southwest of Clearlake, Lake County, California, United States, Mar 3, 2026 03:22 am (GMT -8) (18 km S) 1.5 quake 12 mi southwest of Clearlake, Lake County, California, United States, Mar 2, 2026 05:05 pm (GMT -8) (16 km S) 1.5 quake 25 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, Mar 3, 2026 01:11 am (GMT -8) (19 km S) 1.5 quake 25 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, Mar 2, 2026 02:47 pm (GMT -8) (19 km S) 1.2 quake 27 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, Mar 2, 2026 12:54 pm (GMT -8) (16 km SSW) All earthquakes at Clear LakeEl Chichón volcano (Southern Mexico): 9 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.69 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 13 hours, the last being recorded quake 8 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 3.00 and 1.20 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 2.6 quake Estado de Chiapas, 36 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Mar 2, 2026 03:41 pm (GMT -6) (1 km NNW) 2.4 quake Estado de Chiapas, 37 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Mar 2, 2026 09:35 pm (GMT -6) (1 km NNW) 2.3 quake Estado de Chiapas, 35 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Mar 3, 2026 04:56 am (GMT -6) (2 km NNE) 2.2 quake Estado de Chiapas, 37 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Mar 3, 2026 02:28 am (GMT -6) (1 km SW) 2.2 quake Estado de Chiapas, 37 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Mar 3, 2026 04:55 am (GMT -6) (1 km NNW) All earthquakes at El ChichónGranada volcano (Nicaragua): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 9 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 4 km distance ENE from the volcano. Earthquake details: Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 17 km east of Masaya, Departamento de Masaya, Nicaragua, Mar 3, 2026 03:46 am (GMT -6) (4 km ENE) All earthquakes at GranadaHulubelu volcano (Sumatra): 4 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.34 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 14 hours, the last being recorded quake 7 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 11.00 and 4.00 km. Earthquake details: 2.3 quake Kabupaten Tanggamus, 68 km west of Bandar Lampung, Indonesia, Mar 3, 2026 06:25 pm (GMT +7) (11 km SE) 2.2 quake Kabupaten Tanggamus, 65 km west of Bandar Lampung, Indonesia, Mar 3, 2026 06:29 pm (GMT +7) (13 km ESE) 2.2 quake Kabupaten Tanggamus, 89 km west of Bandar Lampung, Indonesia, Mar 3, 2026 06:42 am (GMT +7) (13 km W) 2.1 quake Kabupaten Tanggamus, 90 km west of Bandar Lampung, Indonesia, Mar 3, 2026 04:34 am (GMT +7) (13 km W) All earthquakes at HulubeluJailolo volcano (Halmahera): magnitude 2.4 earthquakeA magnitude 2.4 earthquake occurred at the volcano 20 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 12.00 km depth at 8 km distance N from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.4 quake Maluku Sea, 40 km north of Ternate, Kota Ternate, North Maluku, Indonesia, Mar 3, 2026 07:35 am (GMT +9) (8 km N) All earthquakes at JailoloKatla volcano (Iceland): 21 earthquakes up to magnitude 3.0Possible earthquake swarm: 21 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 18 hours, the last being recorded quake 6 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 10.00 and 0.00 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 3.0 quake 59 km northeast of Vestmannaeyjar, South, Iceland, Mar 3, 2026 06:41 am (Reykjavik time) (6 km W) 1.8 quake 6.0 km ENE of Goðabunga Mar 3, 2026 10:30 am (Universal Time) (6 km NW) 1.6 quake 5.4 km E of Goðabunga Mar 3, 2026 10:27 am (Universal Time) (4 km W) 1.4 quake 3.4 km ENE of Goðabunga Mar 2, 2026 09:13 pm (Universal Time) (7 km WNW) 1.1 quake Iceland: 4.4 km E of Goðabunga Mar 2, 2026 09:09 pm (Reykjavik time) (5 km WNW) All earthquakes at KatlaKupreanof volcano (Alaska Peninsula): magnitude 2.5 earthquakeA magnitude 2.5 earthquake occurred at the volcano 12 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 14.55 km depth at 12 km distance ESE from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.5 quake Lake and Peninsula Borough, 54 mi northeast of Sand Point, Aleutians East Borough, Alaska, United States, Mar 2, 2026 09:28 pm (GMT -9) (12 km ESE) All earthquakes at KupreanofNevado del Huila volcano (Colombia): 2 earthquakes up to magnitude 4.02 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano at nearly the same time (12:38 UTC). Hypocenter depths ranged between 1.00 and 1.00 km. Earthquake details: 4.0 quake Departamento del Huila, 31 km north of Belalcazar, Colombia, Mar 3, 2026 07:38 am (GMT -5) (1 km ESE) 4.0 quake Departamento del Huila, 31 km north of Belalcazar, Colombia, Mar 3, 2026 07:38 am (GMT -5) (1 km ESE) All earthquakes at Nevado del HuilaOlot Field volcano (Spain): magnitude 3.6 earthquakeA magnitude 3.6 earthquake occurred at the volcano 1 hour 44 minutes ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 1.00 km depth at 6 km distance S from the volcano. Earthquake details: 3.6 quake Wilaya de Blida, 31 km southwest of Algiers, Wilaya d' Alger, Algeria, Mar 3, 2026 06:06 pm (GMT +1) (6 km S) All earthquakes at Olot FieldReporoa volcano (New Zealand): 2 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.42 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 13 minutes, the last being recorded quake 7 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 5.00 and 4.20 km. Earthquake details: 2.4 quake 21 km south of Rotorua, Bay of Plenty, New Zealand, Mar 4, 2026 12:57 am (GMT +13) (11 km N) 1.7 quake 23 km south of Rotorua, Bay of Plenty, New Zealand, Mar 4, 2026 01:11 am (GMT +13) (10 km N) All earthquakes at ReporoaSekincau Belirang volcano (Sumatra): magnitude 2.2 earthquakeA magnitude 2.2 earthquake occurred at the volcano 7 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 3.00 km depth at 5 km distance S from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.2 quake Kabupaten Lampung Barat, 109 km west of Bandar Lampung, Indonesia, Mar 3, 2026 06:30 pm (GMT +7) (5 km S) All earthquakes at Sekincau BelirangSumbing volcano (Central Java): magnitude 2.1 earthquakeA magnitude 2.1 earthquake occurred at the volcano 11 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 28.00 km depth at 4 km distance SW from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.1 quake 17 km east of Wonosobo, Kabupaten Wonosobo, Provinsi Jawa Tengah, Indonesia, Mar 3, 2026 02:58 pm (GMT +7) (4 km SW) All earthquakes at SumbingTecapa volcano (El Salvador): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 23 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 18 km distance N from the volcano. Earthquake details: Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 29 km east of San Vicente, Departamento de San Vicente, El Salvador, Mar 2, 2026 01:35 pm (GMT -6) (18 km N) All earthquakes at TecapaTenerife volcano (Canary Islands): 2 earthquakes up to magnitude 3.02 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 8 minutes, the last being recorded quake 3 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 16.10 and 10.00 km. Earthquake details: Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 27 km west of La Laguna, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain, Mar 3, 2026 03:36 pm (GMT +0) (16 km NNE) 1.5 quake 35 km southwest of Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain, Mar 3, 2026 03:28 pm (Universal Time) (15 km ESE) All earthquakes at Tenerifehttps://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquakes-volcanoes/news/296478/Volcano-earthquake-report-for-Tuesday-3-Mar-2026.html
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Webmaster
4 hours ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 PM CST Tue Mar 03 2026
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The forecast remains on track, and please see the previous discussion for more details.
..Nauslar/Stearns.. 03/03/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CST Tue Mar 03 2026/
...Synopsis... A mid-level shortwave trough will eject northeastward across the central Great Plains through D2/Wednesday as a more amplified upper-level trough digs southeastward into the West. At the surface, a weak cyclone will transition northeastward across the Midwest along a nearly stationary boundary forecast to extend from far west Texas northeastward into the Midwest and then eastward across the Mid-Atlantic. Cooler temperatures, light winds, and modestly increased RH within the post-frontal air mass are expected to temper any fire weather concerns across much of the central and southern High Plains. While a corridor of stronger sustained surface winds (15-20 mph) is forecast ahead of the surface low from southern Texas into the mid-Mississippi River Valley, richer low-level moisture will maintain surface RH above 40-50% across region.
Meanwhile, a second surface cyclone will shift southeastward from Alberta into southeastern Montana and may bring a brief period of localized downslope winds to portions of the northern High Plains; however, sustained winds are forecast to remain light (less than 15 mph) across any areas that do see decreased RH values of 20% or less. Given the expected poor overlap of low RH and stronger sustained winds, widespread fire weather concerns are not anticipated at this time.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html
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World Earthquake Report for Tuesday, 3 March 2026
Webmaster
5 hours ago
World Earthquake Report for Tuesday, 3 March 2026 Worldwide earthquakes above magnitude 3 during the past 24 hours on 3 Mar 2026 Summary: 1 quake 6.0+, 6 quakes 5.0+, 38 quakes 4.0+, 144 quakes 3.0+, 322 quakes 2.0+ (511 total)This report is being updated every hour.Magnitude 6+: 1 earthquake Magnitude 5+: 6 earthquakes Magnitude 4+: 38 earthquakes Magnitude 3+: 144 earthquakes Magnitude 2+: 322 earthquakes No quakes of magnitude 7 or higher 10 largest earthquakes in the world (past 24 hours)Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 11:56 am (Pontianak time) - Monday, Mar 2, 2026, at 01:46 pm (GMT -10) - Wednesday, Mar 4, 2026, at 12:38 am (Saipan time) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 11:55 pm (GMT +12) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 12:44 am (GMT -10) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 02:16 pm (GMT +12) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 09:11 am (GMT +9) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 07:23 am (GMT +12) - Wednesday, Mar 4, 2026, at 12:55 am (GMT +10) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 07:52 pm (Taipei time) - Earthquakes reported feltTuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 06:06 pm (GMT +1) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 11:56 am (Pontianak time) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 03:09 pm (GMT +3) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 05:46 am (GMT +1) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 04:05 pm (GMT +3) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 07:02 am (GMT +8) - Monday, Mar 2, 2026, at 09:22 pm (GMT +1) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 04:09 am (GMT +2) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 07:52 pm (Taipei time) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 01:21 pm (GMT +11) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 05:53 pm (GMT +1) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 06:11 am (GMT -5) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 09:45 pm (GMT +8) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 02:20 pm (GMT +2) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 07:38 am (GMT -5) - Monday, Mar 2, 2026, at 01:41 pm (GMT -5) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 06:28 pm (GMT +8) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 08:59 am (GMT -5) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 01:08 am (GMT -5) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 11:34 pm (GMT +8) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 11:56 pm (GMT +8) - Tuesday, Mar 3, 2026, at 07:38 am (GMT -5) - Monday, Mar 2, 2026, at 06:55 pm (GMT -5) - Earthquake stats  https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquake/news/296498/World-Earthquake-Report-for-Tuesday-3-March-2026.html
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SPC Mar 3, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Webmaster
5 hours ago
SPC Mar 3, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective OutlookSPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook  Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1126 AM CST Tue Mar 03 2026
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH TEXAS TO THE SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS...
...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are expected during the afternoon and evening on Wednesday from north-central Texas and southeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas, southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Large hail and occasional wind damage will be the primary threats.
...Southern Plains to lower OH Valley... A midlevel shortwave trough now over CO will progress eastward and reach the mid MS Valley by early Thursday, in response to an amplifying wave upstream over the Great Basin/CA. An associated weak surface wave will develop east-northeastward along a quasi-stationary baroclinic from the Ozarks to the lower OH Valley, and this baroclinic zone will serve as the primary focus for ascent and convection Wednesday into early Thursday. Boundary-layer dewpoints in the 60s will be prevalent along and south of the front by tomorrow, given the returning moisture already present from southeast OK into MS. The low-level moistening will occur beneath the eastern extent of an elevated mixed layer with 7-8 C/km midlevel lapse rates, per 12z soundings across the southern Plains. Surface heating in cloud breaks will contribute to MLCAPE near 1000 J/kg with diminishing convective inhibition along the front through the afternoon.
Elevated convection could be ongoing at the start of the period across southeast KS/northeast OK in a zone of low-level warm advection. Storms will spread east-northeastward through the day toward southeast MO/southern IL and vicinity, while additional storms are probable along the front during the afternoon/evening from central/north TX into eastern OK/western AR. Deep-layer and low-level vertical shear will be sufficient for storm clusters and some supercell structures by late afternoon/evening closer to the path of the weak cyclone and midlevel trough across southern MO, where there will be the potential for large hail, damaging gusts, and a couple of tornadoes. Deep-layer shear will be weaker farther to the southwest toward TX where storms should be more isolated/discrete with an accompanying threat for large hail. Convection may persist through the overnight hours to the immediate cool side of the front.
..Thompson.. 03/03/2026
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.html
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